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Nikada/E+ via Getty Images Fresh data from China overnight showed the nation's economy expanding at a 7.9% pace in the second quarter, boosted by strong readings on industrial output (+8.3% Y/Y), retail sales (13.9% Y/Y) and fixed-asset investment (+12.6% Y/Y) for June. However, the GDP numbe...
Big upside inflation surprises in Turkey and parts of LATAM co-exist with moderating inflation in EM Asia. China’s economic surprises keep decoupling from the rest of EM. From the market’s perspective, a key question is whether EM’s big inflation divide will reinf...
Although global manufacturing output growth ran at one of the fastest rates seen for over a decade in June, capacity constraints continued to develop, reflecting a lack of labour and a record worsening of supplier delivery times. The shortfall of payroll numbers to new orders was espe...
As the first half of 2021 comes to an end, the global economy is recovering strongly from its sharp decline last year caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Regional economic growth differences during the first half reflect differences in the spread of the pandemic and policy responses to i...
Andrea Verdelli/Getty Images News China today celebrated the ruling Communist Party's centenary with a big show in Tiananmen Square. Saber-rattling by President Xi Jinping also made some news after he warned that bully nations will "get their heads bashed in," hailed a "new world" and committ...
The global economy has reached an important milestone in the second quarter of 2021, surpassing the pre-pandemic real GDP peak attained in the fourth quarter of 2019. After a 3.5% contraction in 2020, global real GDP is projected to increase 6.0% in 2021, its strongest advance since 1...
We formally neutralized the influence of two macro themes centered on global protectionism and Chinese growth. European populism was reduced as a significant headwind to valuation opportunities. With fewer headwinds, there may be a less obstructed path for price to gravitate towar...
IHS Markit's PMI business surveys showed the economic recovery gaining momentum in May as output growth accelerated to the fastest for 15 years. Although growth of new orders accelerated globally in May to reach the highest since 2006, employment growth slowed marginally compared to A...
April PMIs for BRIC economies show continued strengthening in the recovery in China and Russia, moderation in the recovery momentum in India and deepening collapse in the recovery in Brazil. BRIC as a group underperformed Global PMIs in April in both Services and Manufacturing, althou...
Brazil Composite PMI fell from 54.4 in 4Q 2020 to 52.1 in 1Q 2021, marking a slowdown in growth conditions in the economy. Russia Composite PMI increased from recessionary 47.7 in 4Q 2020 to still negative-growth (albeit statistically, indistinguishable from zero growth) 49.5 in 1Q 20...