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Summary The October Consumer Price Index rose by 0.4%, while the core rate (removing the volatile food and energy components) increased by 0.3%. The monthly increases - and the resulting trend rates - were less than financial markets expected. The annualized pace of growth for...
Summary Surging stocks show markets believe hopes of a soft landing by the Fed to be true. We disagree and stay underweight developed market (DM) stocks. U.S. stocks jumped and bond yields plunged after October CPI rose less than the market expected. But sticky core inflation keep...
Summary In our polarized world, your politics can be hazardous to your performance. Many political claims seem to make sense but do not hold water. The economy, energy policy and inflation may be the poster children of this campaign. Market reaction going into (and coming ...
Summary The average spread between the 10-year Treasury and the 30-year mortgage rate has averaged 1.7% since 1990 and now stands at 2.9%. Small and mid-cap stocks continue to look better technically than US large cap. The Russell 2000, S&P 600 and S&P 400 (midcap) index E...
Summary We are in a landscape of divergences and potential pivots. The capacity to absorb structurally higher rates is likely to be key over the next year or two. We think the volatility generated by pivots can continue to offer a favorable backdrop to global macro and other t...
Summary The S&P 500, which fell to a year-to-date low of minus 25 percent in the middle of October, built the magnitude of its recovery back by nearly ten percent, and is now down just 16 percent from January. We do not see much in the way of surprises ahead from the big direc...
Summary Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stepped to the podium at his most recent press conference and delivered a very clear message: The market should expect rates to remain higher for longer. Yes, inflation remains the chief concern for markets and the economy right now, ...
Summary The personal consumption expenditures price index, which is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, continues to grow much faster than Fed officials would like. The Fed has raised its federal funds rate target considerably over the last few months. The neutral...
Summary While the U.S. economy has absorbed tighter financial conditions so far, it doesn’t mean it will continue to do so. The bullish expectation is that when the Fed finally makes a “policy pivot,” such will end the bear market. While that expectation is no...
Summary Highlights from the U.S. October inflation report. U.S. midterm elections update. Do markets prefer congressional gridlock? On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Chief Investment Strategist Erik Ristuben and Sophie Antal-Gilbert, Head of AIS Portfol...
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2024-03-27 00:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-12-30 05:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
Wednesday was another day of mixed performance on Wall Street, as major stock market benchmarks were mixed. Investors' preference for growth stocks seemed to reassert itself, as the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) once again managed to gain substantial ground in setting a new record hi...