BILS News and Press, SPDR Bloomberg Barclays 3-12 Month T-Bill From 04/21/23

2023-04-21 16:28:00 ET Summary Yesterday’s release of the Leading Economic Index from the Conference Board appears to settle the matter in favor of recession, but real-time analysis isn’t as clear-cut as this indicator suggests. The consultancy forecasts “econ...

2023-04-20 03:00:00 ET Summary Some of the recent economic data is beginning to show increasing evidence that activity does appear to be slowing. With respect to the UST 3mo/10yr measure, the inversion has still been gathering steam. While the 3-Month T-bill has been tethered ...

2023-04-20 01:44:00 ET Summary The US Federal Reserve could soon deliver the last hike of the current cycle. While 10Y yields have seen their peak already, it will need the imminent prospect of rate cuts to re-steepen the curves. We think cuts will come before the year ends, b...

2023-04-18 10:51:00 ET Summary The vast “cash hoard of 2023” has the bullish media salivating about what it means for the future of equities. That cash hoard in money market funds now exceeds $5.2 trillion. With net exposure to equities by professional and retail inv...

2023-04-18 05:00:00 ET Summary U.S. Bank loans and leases declined by $105 billion in the two weeks following the banking system disruption, suggesting some downward pressure ahead for the U.S. economy. A plus 1% spread between the 1-year and the 10-year is a sign of a meaningfull...

2023-04-12 00:08:00 ET Summary A negative US 10-year minus 3-month yield spread has signalled every incoming recession of the last 60 years. In the real world, global PC shipments were -29% year over year in the first quarter, and the average work week in March’s payroll re...

2023-04-11 02:36:00 ET Summary We’ve seen the worst of the yield curve inversions but I don’t think it tells you a whole lot about the future course of the stock market. Bonds rallied last week as interest rates fell with the 3-7 year Treasury index up a little over ...

2023-04-07 09:34:00 ET Summary Over the 47-year period since 1975, value stocks with high ROE ratios outperformed the value universe of stocks for the one-year period after the curve first inverts by an average of 4.8%. When spreads are narrow and begin to widen, we are in the Bro...

2023-04-06 03:53:00 ET Summary For months, I have been pointing to clear signs that monetary policy has become tight enough to make a difference in people's behavior. A pronounced steepening of the yield curve is the market's way of telling the Fed that they are going to have to c...

2023-04-04 11:40:06 ET SPDR Bloomberg 3-12 Month T-Bill ETF ( NYSEARCA: BILS ) - $0.3916 . 30-Day SEC Yield of 4.61% as of Mar. 30. Payable Apr 10; for shareholders of record Apr 04; ex-div Apr 03. For further details see: SPDR Bloomberg 3-12 Month T-Bill ETF...