EFA News and Press, iShares MSCI EAFE From 02/10/23

Summary International developed markets did a quick 180 off their October lows as the USD pulled back. Even with U.S. mega-caps outperforming in 2022, EFA is still performing relatively decently. I identify important prices on the chart as well as take an updated look at global valu...

Summary Developed economies remain the main source of the unusual outperformance of employment relative to output. An easing of global supply chain constraints has also helped encourage many businesses to raise their capacity expansion plans, notably in the US and Eurozone. Optimism...

Summary Maintaining a 20% position in SPY. Increasing my position in EFA to 30%. Adding a new 20% position in IWM. In this month's article, I outline why I am maintaining my allocation to the SPDR S&P 500 ETF ( SPY ) of 20%, adding a 20% position to iShares Russell...

Summary Developed international and emerging market stocks have been surging relative to the U.S. in recent months. Are non-U.S. stocks finally ready to take the sustained lead over their U.S. counterparts? A closer look reveals that non-U.S. stock performance may not be as impressi...

Summary International institutions, including the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the OECD, have all warned of a downturn in the global economy commencing in the fourth quarter of last year and continuing in the early months of 2023. The fourth quarter of 2022 was indee...

Summary China’s reopening, lower energy prices and cooling inflation reinforce our long-term positive view on equities. Yet, we think market optimism has come too soon. Stocks paused their rally and bond yields steadied after recession worries returned. We think we are starting t...

Summary Strains are building, and the U.S. will likely enter recession in the second half of 2023. By then, Europe will likely be emerging from recession, while China and Emerging Asia may be enjoying a COVID-reopening-inspired recovery. Segments of the inflation basket will soften rapi...

Summary Markets may be underestimating the stickiness of inflation and central banks’ determination to beat it - and what that means for growth and corporate earnings potential. We favor fixed income and credit over equities, and investment grade over high yield. Should infla...

Summary US Large Cap stocks are still in a short-term downtrend but the long-term uptrend is intact. International Large Cap stocks are in a short-term uptrend versus US Large Cap. The trend has been driven by the falling dollar. US Large Cap value is in a short-term uptrend versus ...

Summary After enduring one of the worst years on record across asset classes, investors should find more cause for optimism in 2023, even as the global economy faces challenges. Inflation is likely to moderate, and risks to the inflation outlook appear more balanced than they did severa...