FIEE News and Press, UBS AG FI Enhanced Europe 50 ETN due February 12 2026 From 06/29/22

We expect elevated inflation to continue into 2023 due to the lagged impact of food supply disruption and elevated energy costs. Should a recession occur, its scale is likely to be limited by the reduced number of negative feedback loops. Consumers enter this slowdown with a large...

Recession fears have injected much-needed two-way risks in rates markets. Inflation swaps suggest expectations are anchored, but swaptions betray a record-low degree of conviction. Together, they suggest limited risk appetite and the market remaining in a wait-and-see mode. ...

Growth concerns, inflation and volatility fueled the debate at our Outlook Forum over why we’re entering a new macro and market regime and what that means. Poor activity data reinforced slowdown fears, resulting in falling yields and rising stocks last week. Persistent UK infla...

The pendulum of market sentiment swings dramatically. It has swung from nearly everyone and their sister complaining that the Federal Reserve was lagging behind the surge in prices to fear of a recession. In addition to the tightening of monetary policy and the roughly halving of the ...

If traders are looking for bad news, they need look no further than Europe, which has plenty to go around. In many ways, the ECB has been playing catch-up with the more aggressive shifts towards monetary tightening at the Fed and elsewhere. At the June 15 emergency meeting, the EC...

Recessions have gone from being a potential consequence of high inflation and rapid monetary tightening to an increasingly likely scenario. A wrath of economic indicators are expected to confirm the trend of weakening business activity. The gas stand-off with Russia isn’t e...

Federal Reserve wants to hit the brakes, a 180-degree reversal from the recent two-year effort to turbo-stimulate the U.S. economy. USD's strength since early last year has defied a widening trade deficit, historic negative real interest rates, and growing anxiety that weaponizing the...

Market consensus expectations for real GDP growth rates in the EU and eurozone through 2023 look increasingly unrealistic. For the eurozone, our updated real GDP forecasts of 2.5% and 1.5% for 2022 and 2023 also remain below the market consensus expectations of 2.8% and 2.0%, respecti...

Eurozone economic growth deteriorated sharply to a 16-month low in June, according to preliminary PMI data, reflecting a stalling of demand growth. Companies also scaled back their business expectations for output over the coming year to the lowest since October 2020. The June PMI...

Growth is slowing, but it’s slowing to trend at this point. So not to zero, not to negative, but something like the trend that we’ve experienced over the last couple of decades. So, if you’re looking for a great way to play inflation, look to the small cap asset c...