SCHP News and Press, Schwab U.S. TIPs From 12/11/23

2023-12-11 14:15:00 ET Summary We think U.S. bond markets are underestimating how difficult it might be to fight inflation. We'll have confirmation one way or another starting next Tuesday. Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF™ contains TIPS, and an effective duration of around 7 years, wh...

2023-12-09 09:15:00 ET Summary The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports 199,000 new payroll gains and a drop in the unemployment rate from 3.9% to 3.7%. The upcoming Consumer Price Index report and Federal Open Market Committee decision on interest rates will be closely watched. ...

2023-12-08 02:30:00 ET Summary Recent US inflation data shows that core PCE is close to the Fed's 2% target, indicating that the Fed may be done with its hiking cycle. The peak in the 10-year Treasury may have already been reached, with a 70 basis point decline in November. Th...

2023-12-06 12:15:00 ET Summary We are likely at the end of the Fed’s hiking cycle, but don’t anticipate rate cuts until the second half of 2024. The shape of the yield curve and the trajectory of growth will be key drivers of returns. Investors piled into cash in 202...

2023-11-29 23:05:20 ET Summary I bonds were one of the most popular investments of the past two years and with good reason. As inflation skyrocketed, so did I bond yields, leading these investments to outperform most other asset classes at almost no risk. As inflation plummets...

2023-11-28 01:30:00 ET Summary We turn more positive on short- to medium-term developed market (DM) sovereign bonds in our latest strategic update. We trim DM stocks to neutral. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields steadied after their drop from 16-year highs. We think yields will stay v...

2023-11-18 03:15:00 ET Summary For investors, there are a variety of reasons to give thanks this year, including turkey prices that are lower today than they were last year. The US inflation rate peaked over a year ago, and the market expects that Federal Reserve rate hikes are ov...

2023-11-08 22:04:42 ET Summary US long bond yields have receded, leading to a bounce in the high beta space thanks to renewed liquidity. Yet, "Credit availability" is deteriorating, and employment and PMI indicators are weakening, which does not bode well for 2024. There is a ...

2023-11-07 11:39:00 ET Summary The late summer equity market selloff was driven by a melt-up in real (“inflation adjusted”) rates. While the relationship between stocks and bonds has varied over time, it becomes more significant when rates jump. Albeit painful, t...

2023-10-29 12:45:00 ET Summary The big news this week—though widely anticipated—was the 4.9% annualized growth of the economy in the third quarter. By week's end, worries about Middle East tensions trumped growth fears, and inflation data showed that disinflation, no...