UDN News and Press, Invesco DB USD Index Bearish From 07/01/24

2024-07-01 14:55:00 ET Summary It appears increasingly clear a return to 2% inflation is an unlikely outcome anytime soon. Headline inflation looks to have bottomed, while the stickier services-heavy inflation measures below are slowly but surely losing downside momentum. What...

2024-07-01 08:20:00 ET Summary Energy stocks were the best performer of the week, up 2.4% as crude oil rose 1%. On a sector basis, only three sectors beat the index this quarter, and all of them are AI-related in some way. Diversified strategies and the S&P 500 really star...

2024-07-01 07:25:00 ET Summary French stocks have rallied around 1.4% and the French 10-year premium over Germany has narrowed by about five basis points. The yen remains soft after the Tankan survey showed little change but an uptick in capex plans. The euro reached $1.0775, ...

2024-06-30 08:30:00 ET Summary Markets are still enjoying a soft landing, defined as a world in which inflation is drifting lower, even if still-sticky in key areas, the global economy and labour markets remain unencumbered, and monetary policy is on track to ease modestly. In bon...

2024-06-30 08:00:00 ET Summary July brings new governments in the UK and France, a new European Commission, and China's Third Plenum session with expected measures to support the economy. The US policy mix stands out with loose fiscal policy and tight monetary policy, contributing...

2024-06-30 06:00:00 ET Summary Inflation may be sailing toward trend, but uncertainties remain on the horizon for the economy and financial markets in the second half of the year. Macroeconomic backdrop is favorable for G10 bond markets, with slower nominal GDP growth enabling cen...

2024-06-29 03:50:00 ET Summary The United States experienced a mild deflation in May, according to new data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. PCEPI, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, grew at a continuously compounding annual rate of -0.1 per...

2024-06-29 03:10:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve’s favoured measure of inflation came in at just 0.1% MoM, offering hope that the first quarter “hot” prints are firmly in the rear-view mirror. US consumer spending is also slowing, with first quarter growth s...

2024-06-28 07:15:00 ET Summary The US dollar is narrowly mixed as North American participants prepare to return for the last session of the first half. The large bourses, but India, rose in the Asia Pacific region. Benchmark 10-year yields are 1-4 bps higher in Europe, and the...

2024-06-28 05:40:00 ET Summary Today, the economy is once again functioning normally, growing at about a 2% pace. The big inflation episode is essentially over, but the Fed is once again slow to figure this out, and thus reluctant to lower interest rates. Currency is a good pr...