To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
Deploy Cash And Reduce Hedges
The trigger for the call to deploy cash and reduce hedges is two-fold:
- Market mechanics of year end chase. This market mechanic results in money managers aggressively buying stocks even if their opinion of the stock market is bearish.
- Lower than expected CPI.
Please scroll down to the Protection Band And What To Do Now section for the changes. The changes should be made in small tranches, especially if the stock market pulls back after this morning’s spike up.
CPI
Please click here for a chart of SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (ARCA:SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).
Note the following:
- The chart shows that the stock market is ripping higher this morning on better than expected CPI.
- The chart shows that the next target is the mini resistance zone.
- The chart shows when hedges were reduced previously. The prior call was to deploy more cash. Now, there is a new call to deploy more cash and reduce hedges further.
- RSI on the chart shows that the market is overbought. If the market pulls back due to overbought conditions, the pullback should be used to deploy more cash and reduce hedges.
- CPI came better than expected. Here are the details:
- Headline CPI came at 0.0% vs. 0.1% consensus.
- Core CPI came at 0.2% vs. 0.3% consensus.
- Home Depot Inc (NYSE: HD) earnings have broader implications. Home Depot is also in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (ARCA: DJIA). Home Depot reported earnings slightly better than the consensus. Prudent investors should note that Home Depot expects fiscal year earnings to be down 9% - 11% and same store ...