I believe that the Black Swan moment I mentioned in my SA article is imminent as the Peoples Liberation Army ((PLA)) mobilizes along the Hong Kong border (the official explanation: training purposes) at the same time mass demonstrators are planned to occupy the Hong Kong airport again, an economic chokepoint.
The Economist article "Hong Kong Remains Crucially Important to China" 10 August 2019 discusses the exceptionally close economic co-dependency between Hong Kong and the PRC as well as changes since the 1997 agreement. To paraphrase these differences as indicated in the article:
- With