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2023-03-31 06:30:00 ET Summary Slower growth and tighter financial conditions could mean a lower terminal rate and bring forward the timing of the first rate cut. While front-end yields have declined in recent weeks, they are still near multi-decade highs and may remain here as in...
2023-03-31 03:30:00 ET Summary Pricing the damage: Financial cracks and economic damage are emerging from the fastest rate hiking cycle since the 1980s. What matters: how much damage is in the price and our assessment of market risk sentiment. Rethinking bonds: We see higher yield...
2023-03-31 03:00:00 ET Summary The world would be a lot easier for central bankers if things moved in a straight line. China has opened much more or has reopened much more rapidly than we would’ve expected. We’re pretty optimistic about what we think fixed-income...
2023-03-30 03:35:00 ET Summary The People's Bank of China has already cut its Required Reserve Ratio and has continued to pump liquidity into the money market over the past few days. From the 21st to the 29th of the month, the central bank injected more than CNY850 billion of net ...
2023-03-28 21:59:00 ET Summary The global economy is in a moderate slowdown, with financial markets being whipsawed by tensions in the banking sectors of the US and Europe in the final weeks of the quarter. Thus far in 2023, global equity markets have proven to be resilient in the...
2023-03-28 05:00:00 ET Summary The primary reason why China wants a cease-fire in Ukraine is that the G7 has started sanctioning Chinese companies that do business with Russia. The European Union and Canada’s goals of reducing carbon dioxide emissions can have severe conseq...
2023-03-27 06:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-03-27 01:12:01 ET China’s industrial profit plunged 22.9% in the January to February period compared to a year ago. The reading last saw a 4% fall in industrial profit seen in December, according to Refinitiv data. China’s industrial profit print ...
2023-03-26 23:55:00 ET Summary The banking crisis and the consequential tightening of financial conditions is a new deflationary shock. It renders the next data highlight in the US, the February PCE deflator, less relevant. The impact on monetary policy expectations will last long...
2023-03-22 17:02:00 ET Summary The economic data renaissance combined with the threat of financial sector instability leaves central banks with difficult choices. Strong household and corporate finances are likely to limit the downturn to a mild recession. The Fed faces a daun...