Vale ( NYSE: VALE ) is scheduled to announce Q2 results on Thursday, Jul. 28, after market close.
Consensus EPS estimate is $0.80 and consensus revenue estimate is $11.61B (-30.4% Y/Y).
Over the last 2 years, VALE has beaten EPS estimates 50% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time.
Over the last 3 months, EPS estimates have seen 1 downward revision and revenue estimates have seen 1 downward revision.
Investors will look out for guidance as iron and copper prices have been hit by macro uncertainty and weak demand in China .
Q2 production:
- VALE's Q2 iron ore production missed estimates and it lowered its iron ore and copper output guidance for the year.
- The lackluster results risk delaying a potential sale/spinoff of VALE's copper and nickel unit that could be worth $40B, Bloomberg reported .
- Banco Bradesco BBI said the process of stabilizing VALE's base metals operations remains rocky amid operational setbacks and extended maintenance.
- Banco BTG Pactual said VALE's discount to Australian mining peers may expand, given "lower confidence on operational stability/execution".
Q1 recap:
- VALE stock rose after the miner reported Q1 profit that topped estimates.
- The firm approved its biggest-ever stock buyback program, which Alpha Key Capital Management said is a clear sign VALE believes its shares are trading at cheap levels.
Recent news:
- Wolfe Research remains cautious on VALE , citing the likelihood of sequentially higher costs.
- VALE and BHP ( BHP ) said they are not interested in selling their Samarco Mineracao JV, according to Reuters, after reports that Companhia Siderurgica Nacional ( SID ) was drafting an offer.
- VALE launched a venture capital initiative to invest $100M in sustainable mining startups, Bloomberg reported.
- VALE inked a long-term contract to supply Tesla ( TSLA ) with nickel; details were not provided.
- The SEC said it was suing VALE over how it misled investors regarding mining safety practices before a 2019 tailings dam collapse that killed 270 people, WSJ reported.
SA contributor Bram de Haas in a bullish analysis said VALE has become quite attractive after a recent selloff.
For further details see:
Will Vale report earnings miss in Q2 amid lower output?