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The stock market's 'contrary sentiment' bounce has finally arrived. Will it be mini, maxi or perhaps even the end of the bear phase? The US dollar has bulled along with the Gold/Silver ratio and these two will need to calm down for an extended stock rally. Meanwhile, the bond mark...
Managed futures typically does well in market crisis periods when all risk assets correlate. Hedge funds keep acting like a different flavor of the stock market, while commodities continue their relentless inflationary march higher. Eight more months of this will keep us all on ou...
Last week, the European Central Bank (ECB) delivered a dovish surprise to the market. The ECB appears to share the IMF’s concern about safeguarding growth in Europe as monetary policymakers take steps to check the cycle of higher prices and inflation expectations. To an unu...
Quarter-managed futures are just put up, while stocks went up in March. The drivers are that big commodity number you see at the top of the table, but also that poor Bonds number you see at the bottom of the table, with managed futures short bonds and loving it as rates are rising. ...
While the year 2022 began on a positive, generally optimistic note for investors, the scene changed dramatically over the course of the quarter. As we come close to the end of the quarter, the iShares MSCI ACWI ex-US ETF (ACWX) has declined 5.85% year-to-date 3/28/2022 on a total retu...
According to a recent report released by the OECD, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, if prolonged, could knock 1.1 percentage points off the global GDP for 2021, while increasing global inflation by 2.5 percentage points over an already lofty inflation level. The damage won’t be...
US valuations remain very high despite a recent selloff across the market cap spectrum. Developed foreign markets retreated to reasonable PE10 levels. Emerging market valuations have not budged much even with a more than 20% drop since February 2021. For further details see:...
We see the Ukraine war reducing global growth, increasing inflation and putting central banks in a bind. We prefer developed stocks in the inflationary backdrop. Stocks led by European equities bounced from 2022 lows last week, as oil prices came off highs. The European Central Bank a...
Putin’s gamble, and the West’s response, has brought into view one of the few existential tail risks that isn’t a Black Swan: the risk of an escalation into war between Russia and NATO, and the exchange of nuclear weaponry. We also know that the war between Ukrain...
February brought slight improvements to most of the asset class categories during the second month of the year. While World Stocks continued to drop, and with the moderate increases in Hedge Funds, U.S. stocks, bonds, and U.S. Real Estate, they all remained in the negative. As for...
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2024-06-19 14:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 10:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...