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Emerging markets debt is an under-researched and under-owned asset class, creating the potential for returns and diversification. Historically, emerging market debt sovereigns have defaulted about 1%, frontier markets about 1.5%, and median recovery values have been north of 50 cents ...
In 2022, we have extreme uncertainty around the fundamental economic environment, the policy response, inflation and the response of policymakers. Although we are cautiously optimistic on the inflationary trajectory, when you look at the relatively low rate environment still, you ...
Emerging markets high yield sovereign bonds have had a difficult few months. Countries that were reluctant to take International Monetary Fund support are now seeking it. We believe weak market sentiment has priced countries closer to worst-case scenarios. For further detail...
To help address investor concerns about Russia-Ukraine tensions, our Portfolio Managers examine the impact on their respective asset classes and potential allocation changes. We believe sanctions initially will focus on Russia’s top security personnel and companies directly inv...
Geopolitical headlines will have helped, but front-end rates have more reasons to ease back from extremes. In the US, the Fed mulling MBS sales offers an alternate tightening avenue, and in the UK, the BoE's pushback against aggressive pricing should find a more prominent platform nex...
The market expects at least four rate hikes beginning in March setting the stage for a tough year for fixed income. All else equal, higher yielding asset classes may hold up better as rates rise because a higher level of income earned will help to offset price losses as rates rise. ...
Uncertainty has increased due to Russian-Ukrainian tensions, which raise concerns about a potential military escalation by Russia. We believe Turkey’s unorthodox economic policy mix has caused a rapid depreciation of the lira and elevated inflation. Mixed prospects for the ...
For investors who want to earn a reasonable return without taking excessive risks, diversification still works, and we think you’re going to need more of it this year. The weighing of the high-flyers is not over. Commodities had another good week, and the 1-year return is getti...
On a relative basis, we believe EM debt should remain attractive compared with other fixed-income assets. We have a tactical preference for hard currency over local currency debt. Chinese real-estate sector could affect markets beyond China's borders. For further details see...
At the end of 2019, had we been told that a two-year pandemic was about to begin, we would have found it impossible to predict the set of returns that followed in subsequent years. Historically, “tightening,” or “over-tightening,” policy was about corrallin...
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2024-05-17 15:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-07 06:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-18 01:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...