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The map of the Asset Allocation Committee’s market views is a buzz of activity this quarter. Coming into 2022, we anticipated slower growth compared with the steep recovery levels of 2021 and inflation that was declining but persistent—and problematic due to its origins ...
With U.S. bond market yields rising to levels not seen since 2018–19, market participants appear to be debating whether rates have further room to rise from here or whether the increases now represent a renewed buying opportunity to go long duration. The rise in UST yields thus...
We like emerging market (EM) local debt within an overall bond underweight. Much monetary tightening has been done, and valuations are compelling. U.S. Treasury yields hit new three-year highs last week, and equities fell. We still think stocks can weather the yield rise in the inflat...
In an era of low yields, generating income has been a challenge for many investors, with attractive yields limited to a narrow range of asset classes. That landscape has improved somewhat since early 2022, with inflation, geopolitical tensions and hawkish global monetary policies driv...
The US Federal Reserve is turning increasingly hawkish—hiking rates fast enough to slow inflation while maintaining economic growth will be a monumental task. The Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team opines on what to expect from the Fed and gauges whether it is already...
Investors think that emerging markets debt is going to be a key pillar. Many emerging markets debt economies have been proactive about rising policy rates ahead of expectations of taper from the Federal Reserve. One of the things that’s attractive about emerging markets deb...
The Fed struck a hawkish tone at its latest meeting, but Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Chief Investment Officer Sonal Desai believes it still underestimates how far rates will likely need to rise—and so do the markets. Geopolitical uncertainty has caused energy prices to surg...
As core rates have fallen, it has become increasingly challenging for investors to achieve their investment targets. Investing in EM debt entails the same risks that accompany all debt issues, such as the issuer’s ability to meet payment obligations. if you need to enhance ...
The most dramatic and immediate effect of the invasion and subsequent international sanctions is that local market Russian securities are effectively frozen. Emerging markets debt more broadly has traded well this year, in terms of spread, prior to the invasion. We believe the maj...
Emerging markets debt is an under-researched and under-owned asset class, creating the potential for returns and diversification. Historically, emerging market debt sovereigns have defaulted about 1%, frontier markets about 1.5%, and median recovery values have been north of 50 cents ...
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2024-05-17 15:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-07 06:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-18 01:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...