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Based on monetary trends and the early reaction in the economy, we anticipate a slowing growth environment in the U.S., with rising recession risk that depends on the extent of frontloaded Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Following the initial COVID shock in 2020, investment grade...
Last quarter, the Asset Allocation Committee adopted an underweight view on global equities and leaned more heavily into cash, commodities and other alternative, diversifying assets. The Committee’s views on real and alternative assets are unchanged this quarter. The Asset ...
Investors see further Fed rate rises, but believe they will start moderating in size after September. Investors continue to see some risks to credit markets, with views that fundamentals will deteriorate and spreads will generally widen somewhat. There is uncertainty around when a...
If inflation and rate increases do not rise above current market expectations, however, there is a case for longer-duration instruments. Asset allocation models are well documented across the investment universe, and portfolio diversification is a widely accepted principle. Histor...
The EM bond market comes with risks, but also opportunities if you know where to look. How Eastern Europe found itself behind the curve on inflation and what it means for bonds. Why China is cutting rates while other central banks are looking to hike. Rising inte...
EM inflationary momentum remains strong, with outcomes highly correlated to those in DM. Real-rate differentials between EM and DM are unusually high. Greater divergence among countries and regions reinforces the case for relative value opportunities within EM investing and may of...
Corporates are becoming an ever more important part of emerging markets hard currency debt investments. There are several advantages to a corporate credit allocation in the current market environment. We assess corporate fundamental risks through our corporate risk model and envir...
It certainly has been an extraordinary period of weakness for the bond market with the most rapid rising yields that we’ve seen in decades. But the other side of the coin is that now that yields are at these higher levels, bonds represent a much more interesting investment oppo...
The search for value is on, particularly in short to medium duration. We believe yield translates into return potential, and it’s an opportune time to assess current yields in the context of the durability (or lack thereof) of the Fed’s recently aggressive monetary polic...
The map of the Asset Allocation Committee’s market views is a buzz of activity this quarter. Coming into 2022, we anticipated slower growth compared with the steep recovery levels of 2021 and inflation that was declining but persistent—and problematic due to its origins ...
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2024-05-17 15:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-07 06:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-18 01:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...