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Summary The FOMC minutes contained several important pieces of information that provided clues as to what the appropriate stance for policy is in the Committee’s view. On Thursday, a day after the FOMC meeting, the market’s view of the likely path of policy took a fu...
Summary The Fed will take strong efforts to lower inflation, but not primarily to help consumers today. Their strong action comes from a belief that failure to bring inflation down now will result in much more persistent inflation, with more business cycles in the years to come. ...
Summary The recent bounce in equity prices has just been a rather pedestrian bear market rally. Bull markets are not engendered by a faltering global economy, very high rates of inflation, and the most hawkish global central bank tightening cycle in history. The $6 trillion of hel...
Strong data or not, the Fed will likely stay the course on rates. Why inflation is still the Fed's biggest concern, even as it eases. Why the robust jobs market didn't get the recession memo. Stronger U.S. economic data is leading to speculation the U.S. Federal ...
While lower than expected, headline U.S. inflation at 8.5% still remains well above the Fed’s 2% target. Markets interpreted July’s slower inflation as a signal that the Fed may not need to tighten as much. Has inflation peaked, or will the intense competition over a...
There's a danger to have a central banker centric view of the universe, where everything that happens on inflation is because of central bankers. It's critically important to figure out how much of this inflation is from supply shocks and how much is from excess demand and stimulus, m...
What are the odds of a recession? What are the risks that inflation will stay elevated? How are housing markets evolving in a rising rate environment? From the risk of a recession, to the stickiness of inflation, to the prospects for the housing market, TD Econom...
The U.S., along with the U.K., the eurozone countries, and many other nations around the world, are in a deep inflation hole. In the U.S., headline inflation is running at more than 8% on a year-over-year basis, while core inflation, excluding food and energy, is running in the 6% ter...
Assessing the main issues behind recent market performance. What to expect at the Jackson Hole symposium. Economic growth slows in China. On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Director of Client Investment Strategies, Mark Eibel, and Sophie Antal-Gilbert, Head ...
Inflationary pressures have eased in recent months thanks to reduced supply-chain frictions and the commodity market coming off the boil. Slower input cost inflation reflected an easing of pressures among both manufacturers and service providers. With staff shortages continuing gl...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...