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Summary What's next for the bond market after Fed Powell's speech? Is the Fed pivot away for higher rates off the table? Outlook on inflation in Canada and the U.S. Stock markets tumbled following Fed Chainman Powell’s hawkish stance on rate rises. Gre...
Summary If you want one asset class that has had a very good year, it’s the greenback or US dollar. If there’s one sign for a market reversal, I think it will eventually be accompanied by dollar weakness or a weaker UUP. Friday’s jobs report is a big deal ...
Summary According to some indicators, the US economy entered the bust phase of the monetary-inflation-driven boom-bust cycle during the first quarter of this year with the TMS growth rate still above 6%. The US money-supply data for July-2022, which were published on Tuesday of th...
Summary The US Fed continues to bring the big guns, raising rates another 75 bp (0.75%) on July 27, 2022. The DOT COM Bubble was unique in the sense that excess capital flowed into technology/internet companies’ hand-over-fist. I believe the current pre & post COVID...
Summary Interest rates will move higher and remain in restrictive territory for longer than the market currently expects. The length of time required to drive inflation to low and stable levels remains uncertain. The Federal Open Market Committee expects the pace of rate incre...
Summary On 26 August 2022, Fed chair Jerome Powell spoke at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. His forceful language and deliberate references to the lessons of history laid to rest any hope that the Fed will shift away from its tightening strategy. Equity markets respond...
Summary M2 has essentially flat-lined since last January, which was well before the Fed began to take tightening action. This means that the behavior of M2 is obviating the need for the Fed to pursue a typical tightening, which almost always ends with a recession. The issue of...
Summary Monetary inflation forces are being subdued with rate hikes. Other forces that contribute to inflation are very mixed currently. Overall, the rate of inflation will likely remain well above workers' weekly paychecks. It's a rather funny picture, but it's the stat...
Summary Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, grew just 0.3 percent in the month of July, down from 0.6 and 0.7 percent in the prior two months. The continuously-compounding annual inflation rate since January 2020, which had stood at 3.0 percent in August and ...
Summary The FOMC minutes contained several important pieces of information that provided clues as to what the appropriate stance for policy is in the Committee’s view. On Thursday, a day after the FOMC meeting, the market’s view of the likely path of policy took a fu...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...