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Summary If you look back over the first eight months of this year, it is truly amazing to see how the money and bond markets’ monetary policy outlook continues to change. Quantitative tightening (QT) was the “easy” part, as most market participants correctly s...
Summary The FOMC began raising rates, at its March meeting, by 25 basis points, and followed in May with a 50-basis point increase, then began frontloading its policy tightening by 75 basis points in June and another 75 basis points in July. Markets became concerned that the Fed m...
Summary The Fed has made abundantly clear that it will tighten monetary policy until inflation is virtually vanquished. And yet, those who have no choice but to be nearly fully invested at all times have completely ignored this fact and were left trying to convince the investing p...
Summary Fed officials are looking for evidence that this year’s rate increases and tightening of financial conditions will bring inflation back down to 2%. The tight labor market has not shown any signs of cooling, with unemployment back to pre-pandemic levels and wage grow...
Summary In most countries/regions around the world, monetary inflation rates peaked at extraordinary heights in early 2021 and have since crashed. G2 True Money Supply is the primary driver of the global boom-bust cycle. Once central banks have created a bubble the best they c...
Summary The Federal Reserve’s decision to tighten monetary policy may finally be paying off. A high annual rate from July 2021 to July 2022 does not necessarily imply that the Fed’s recent policy change was ineffective. The most recent inflation data provides som...
Summary Apartment rents are a classic "sticky price;" the rent is fixed in dollar terms for a year. So, landlords decide how much rent to charge, and people decide how much they're willing to pay, balance rents now vs. higher rents in the future. Inflation should not be a surp...
Summary After gorging on +9% gains in the stock market (S&P 500 index) during July, investors suffered some heartburn pain in August (-4%). The indigestion really kicked in after Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, gave a frank and candid outlook during his annual monetar...
Summary Before the Great Financial Crisis of 2008-09, savers could easily invest in perfectly safe GICs, bonds and savings accounts with interest rates over 4%. The low rate revolution became a war on savers that lasted the better part of twelve years. The yield on the five-ye...
Summary What's next for the bond market after Fed Powell's speech? Is the Fed pivot away for higher rates off the table? Outlook on inflation in Canada and the U.S. Stock markets tumbled following Fed Chainman Powell’s hawkish stance on rate rises. Gre...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...