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Summary The last few years have been jarring in numerous ways. They’ve also forced me to reconsider how I help people navigate the financial world. Assessing stock and bond markets over one-year time horizons is silly and it’s a big part of why I’ve become a b...
Summary Is the Fed ready to consider slowing its pace of rate hikes? Why the Fed will likely stay Hawkish at least for the time being. The Fed is likely to overshoot in its inflation fight for a simple reason: All of its data is backward looking. The U.S. Fed...
Summary Inflation remains high, and the labor market is still very tight. The quits and jobs opening rate from JOLTS shows that openings and quits have fallen in the last few months. The economy may be slowing, but there is still considerable wage pressure adding to inflation....
Summary Most of the media tends to focus on the results of the 30-stock DJIA, which gives you a distinct happy view that this senior index is up +14.40% from its low point, which is in the mid-range for rallies after a sizable decline. A much larger sample found in the S&P 500...
Summary The Fed is going to meet this week and the course of the stock and bond markets, at least for a while, will be determined by what is decided at the FOMC meeting. Household and corporate balance sheets are remarkably liquid. Financials, real estate, and industrials led ...
Summary Unlike the CPI, which came in at 8.2%, the PCE held steady at 6.2% on a year-over-year basis. Prices increased for services from 5.0% to 5.3%, driven by rising housing and transportation services costs. New claims for unemployment insurance released on Thursday, Oct 17...
Summary Central banks across the globe are not in lock step with the U.S. Fed. Could this limit what the Fed could do? Will the Fed start signaling a less hawkist direction for rates? Finding bright spots in the fixed income market. Bank of Canada raised overnight ...
Summary Do corporate earnings disappointments signal a weaker economy and easing inflation pressures, which could end this scary market—or are there more twists to come? When we look in detail at last week’s disappointing third-quarter reports from five of the bigges...
Summary Relentless recent pace of strong consumer demand is starting to show signs of flagging, giving strength to the argument that a recession is likely to take place sometime in the first half of 2023. Prices keep going down, which triggers a vicious cycle of yet more selling. ...
Summary Money supply growth fell again in September, dropping to a 37-month low. Money supply growth can often be a helpful measure of economic activity, and an indicator of coming recessions. Since January of this year, the Fed has raised the target federal funds rate from .2...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...