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Summary Powell gave somewhat encouraging remarks in one out of three in yesterday’s press conference. A pause and pivot, in short, are nowhere on the immediate horizon. By some accounts the Fed is at risk of overtightening and throwing the economy into recession. ...
Summary Fed's Powell remains hawkish on rates, despite dovish overtures in statement. The Fed reiterates its intension that rates will remain high until inflation is cracked. Why rates are going to be higher for longer, even after inflation comes down. Th...
Summary Markets hoped for a dovish Federal Reserve “pivot,” but got a hawkish surprise instead. Markets were convinced this would validate the drop in bond yields that took place last week, and turn it into the beginning of a steady decline. Asked about the Decem...
Summary Why lending has remained strong for U.S. banks even as a recession looms. Does the Fed have to go 'too far – too fast' to tackle inflation? The signals that are causing banks to become more cautious about loan losses. Aggressive rate hikes by t...
Summary U.S. Fed hikes rates another 75 basis points. What are the risks the U.S. Fed overshoots and causes a hard landing. The outlook for the U.S. dollar. The U.S. Federal Reserve delivered another three-quarter-point rate hike, taking rates to their highes...
Summary The U.S. Federal Reserve delivered another supersized 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike at today’s meeting, bringing the federal funds rate to a target range of 3.75%-4.0%. Powell indicated that the Fed would consider slowing down the pace of rate hikes at its next mee...
Summary The Fed delivered another outsized rate increase at today’s FOMC meeting, raising the Fed Funds target yet again by 75 basis points (bps) to a new range of 3.75%–4%. In other words, the Fed has moved even further into restrictive territory. With the Novem...
Summary The Federal Reserve has delivered the fourth super-size 75bp hike in a row, but signaled more modest moves are in store for December onwards. Chair Powell commented that the Fed doesn't want to fail to tighten enough and loosen too soon. Expectations of the policy rate...
Summary The only policy actions that could deter a recession would worsen inflation, thus setting the stage for an even worse downturn sometime in the future. One indicator that covers 54 countries shows that almost all are tightening monetary policy. A good reason to expect a...
Summary The last few years have been jarring in numerous ways. They’ve also forced me to reconsider how I help people navigate the financial world. Assessing stock and bond markets over one-year time horizons is silly and it’s a big part of why I’ve become a b...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...