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Summary The midterm election is historically a negative for the president’s party, and this year is expected to be no different. Thinking people might consider how a shift in US Senate seats can ameliorate the most significant monetary contraction and real estate-led global...
Summary The U.S. inflation report is likely to remain the most economic piece of data for markets, for the foreseeable future. Falling inflation eventually will allow central banks to perform the much-discussed pivot, both in terms of the speed of tightening and eventual terminal ...
Summary It's all about the history you don't know. We have been this way before, and rates and inflation were much worse. Historical fact does not matter. pessimism reigns supreme. Blood in the streets + horrible sentiment + attractive valuation = Time to be greedy. ...
Summary Tight monetary policy aims to slow down an overheated economy by increasing interest rates. Conversely, loose monetary policy aims to stimulate an economy by lowering interest rates. Global central banks have raised rates rapidly but their rates are still below inflation l...
Summary BlackRock’s top investment leaders came together at the Outlook Forum. The upshot: the new regime is not about to change, and we need a new playbook. Stocks slid and yields rose as the Federal Reserve delivered another mega rate rise and signaled it would need to ta...
Summary Markets initially responded positively to the FOMC’s 75-basis-point increase in the federal funds rate. The basic message that Powell delivered was that the committee was both committed and determined to bring inflation down. What Powell missed, and what many at...
Summary Europe cannot produce the same output without a significant increase in the cost of energy. When U.S. trade deficits are widening, more dollars are flowing abroad. A U.S. slowdown would likely cause the trade deficit to tighten further as consumers purchase fewer impor...
Summary Upside inflation surprises prompted the U.S. Federal Reserve to hike its policy rate by 75 basis points (bps) for a historic fourth time. Chair Powell’s relatively hawkish press conference comments contrasted with the dovish statement. With U.S. inflation poised...
Summary Yesterday, Fed chair Jerome Powell reiterated his commitment to combating inflation (lagging indicator) at the expense of economic growth, employment and asset prices (leading indicator). In an abrupt reversal, every market sector tumbled into the close, with 474 of S&...
Summary Powell gave somewhat encouraging remarks in one out of three in yesterday’s press conference. A pause and pivot, in short, are nowhere on the immediate horizon. By some accounts the Fed is at risk of overtightening and throwing the economy into recession. ...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...