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Summary Last week’s Federal Reserve meeting provided reinforcement for those anticipating slower rate hikes and a more stable bond market next year. Chair Jerome Powell seems to lean toward downshifting to 25-basis-point increases. Investors could see slower rate hikes from h...
Summary Inflation and central bank policy will likely continue being key focus points for investors. 2023 may not see a repeat of the frantic Federal Reserve activity that characterized 2022, but policy rates almost certainly still have further to rise. While 2023, with its challeng...
Summary MarketCap/GVA is our most reliable valuation gauge in market cycles across history, including recent decades. To expect a large positive outlier over the coming years is to rely on bubble valuations to prevail at the end of the holding period. Interest rates are nowhere near...
Summary The bump in the terminal rate to 5.1%, as per the consensus dot plots in the last FOMC meeting, was not accompanied by a similar sell-off in the Fed funds futures that would reflect a higher terminal Fed funds rate being priced in. The ECB and the BOE also talk the same game pla...
Summary CPI rose only 0.1% in November and 7.1% in the past 12 months. The monthly CPI was lower than the economists’ consensus expectation of 0.3%, and that triggered a massive bond rally that caused Treasury yields to plummet. The Fed never fights market rates, so even thou...
Summary MoneyTalk’s Greg Bonnell discusses what it means for the economy with Chris Whelan, Senior Canada Rates Strategist at TD Securities. The markets are bracing for what's probably not going to be a wonderful 2023 economically. The market is telling that long-term interes...
Summary During Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee confab, the Fed speaks – market goes down; journalists ask questions – market goes up. The action here is being done by very sophisticated trading programs employing state-of-the-art artificial intelligence. ...
Summary The markets remain stuck in a Bearish phase. The United States Federal Reserve and the pivot to monetary tightening is a primary reason for the pessimism and despair. A series of economic and geopolitical events have helped shape this reality. Until the Fed eases and mac...
Summary Prices of some durable goods have been falling for months and they did so again in November. On a year-over-year basis, the services CPI jumped by 7.2%, same as in October. The CPI for durable goods fell for the third month in a row, after the ridiculous spikes last year and...
Summary December FOMC meeting point to policymakers already starting to take a less aggressive stance to policy tightening compared to the prior four 75 basis point hikes. In line with PMI data, the latest official data signalled a slowdown in the pace of Consumer Price Inflation during...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...