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Summary Central banker prudence and inflation-fighting resolve should err on the side of not conveying a rapidly concluding tightening cycle. Financial conditions almost immediately began to loosen globally, a loosening that has gathered important momentum early in 2023. Systemic ri...
Summary Investors are counting on inflation melting away by the summer. However, easing financial conditions and a weaker dollar are breathing life back into inflation. Commodities and import prices are just two reasons why inflation may come back sooner than you think. ...
Summary Bond investors have started the new year on a very upbeat tone. They seem convinced that the battle against inflation has already been won. The Fed might nudge rates up a bit more to stay on the safe side, but soon enough we’ll go back to a world of very low interest rate...
Summary Amid speculation that the US could be slipping into a recession, upcoming flash PMI data will be eagerly assessed to gauge the business climate in the opening month of the year. The surveys from S&P Global have been sending especially weak signals for output and demand growt...
Summary Why the US recession outlook isn't as clear as previously thought. The U.S. consumer shows signs of resilience despite fears of a slowdown. U.S. economy continues to send markets conflicting signals. While markets brace for a possible U.S. recession, there ...
Summary The money and bond markets are already knee-deep in Fed policy conjecture only a couple of weeks into the new year. Even though the Fed raised the Fed Funds target range by an eye-opening 350 basis points (bps) since May, financial conditions are now unchanged from where they we...
Summary Why the second half of 2023 may be good for markets. Inflation may be cooling, but the labour market isn't. Why investors are having a mixed reaction to encouraging CPI numbers. U.S. consumer inflation data showed prices softening in December. Greg Bonnell ...
Summary Inflation is moving down. Fed actually has a more preferred measure of core inflation, which is core Personal Consumption Expenditures. The Fed is saying that a shallow recession basically is on the horizon. In our latest "Talking Markets" podcast, we meet with r...
Summary Inflation pressures were worse in the first half of last year at a time when the economy suffered two quarters of negative growth (inflation-adjusted), while inflation declined significantly in the second half, when the economy enjoyed two quarters of roughly 3% growth (inflation-ad...
Summary The latest CPI report for the United States suggests that the inflation spike after 2020 was transitory in the rather weak sense that I understood the term “transitory”. Obviously, the people who argued that inflation would subside in late 2021 - which was a consen...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...