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Summary Market and policy trends continue to support fixed income assets. As widely expected, US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points at its latest meeting on Feb. 1. It appears that the Fed is not going to be so dogmatic as to force the economy into a major rece...
Summary The Federal Open Market Committee raised its federal funds rate target by 25 basis points on Wednesday. In December, the median FOMC member projected the target would exceed 5 percent in 2023, but some think the Fed has already done enough to bring down inflation. The estima...
Summary Markets think the war against inflation has been won—and the Fed seems to believe it too—but has it? The press conference following the Fed’s January 31-February 1 policy meeting seems to have turned back the clock to at least pre-Jackson Hole, if not all th...
Summary The Federal Open Market Committee decided to raise the Federal Funds interest rate this week by 25 basis points. In response to the inflation, the Federal Reserve increased the Federal Funds rate from a range of 0.00 to 0.25 percent to 4.00 to 4.25 percent in 2022. While inf...
Summary The 2021-2022 episode turned out to be very different from the economic turmoil that bedeviled the U.S. economy from the 1960s into the early 1980s. Changes in relative prices can be either the result of changes in the average price level, or the cause of such changes. The o...
Summary A big contributing factor to the surge in inflation was the spike in consumer spending. Healthy GDP growth, generationally low unemployment, and relatively stable earnings all point to a stable economy. While the future always remains unclear, nobody knows for certain whethe...
Summary The Federal Reserve continues to hike interest rates, but markets are increasingly of the view that the Fed will reverse course and rates will end the year where they started. The Fed continues to fret about inflation, arguing that a tight jobs market leaves open the risk that p...
Summary How many more Fed rate hikes to come? What the U.S. bond market is saying about the economy. Outlook for the US dollar. The U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a quarter-point hike in an effort to tamp down on inflation and signaled further increases at upco...
Summary We appear to be finally reaching the endgame for rate hikes. Signs reveal that inflation has not only peaked but could be cooling quicker than policy makers expected. Whether the Fed delivers another quarter-point rate hike or even an additional increase after that, the more...
Summary The JNK ETF did not make another leg higher when the S&P attacked the 4100 level last week, which in my book is an indication that the stock market is a little ahead of itself. As we come up to the FOMC meeting tomorrow, the Fed needs to be reminded that the bigger part of t...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...