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Summary Are interest rate hikes proving to be successful? What's next for the Fed after scaling back hikes. Where the inflation fight is heading next. After several months of aggressive rate hikes, inflation is finally showing signs of easing. Greg Bonnell speaks w...
Summary While some pessimism has lifted from central bank messaging, we still think the market may be hearing only what it wants to hear. The BoE hiked rates by 50 basis points, but hinted that this might be the end of the cycle. That was dovish, but not entirely unexpected, given the f...
Summary In examining the terms growth and value, I now recognize that the two labels should not be given to stocks, but to periods of time when a company is experiencing growth or value. For those of us emotionally connected with stock market prices, there is a tendency to label a ...
Summary We see central banks stumbling into a more nuanced phase of the inflation fight and nearing a pause on hikes. We like short-term bonds and credit for income. U.S. stocks rose but trimmed gains and Treasury yields jumped after U.S. jobs data showed a tight labor market, reviving ...
Summary With inflation deeply ingrained, it took Volcker's punishing tightening measures to finally quash pricing pressures and inflationary psychology. Central bank-induced distortions have unleashed historic borrowing, both in the public and private sectors, along with unprecedented s...
Summary The question as to whether nominal spreads today are properly priced or not ultimately comes down to one thing, and that one thing is inflation. Year-on-year core inflation has been trending down since it hit a peak of 6.6 percent last September. Our expectation is that the ...
Summary Money supply growth fell again in December, falling even further into negative territory after turning negative in November for the first time in twenty-eight years. During December 2022, YOY growth in the money supply was at –2.4 percent. That's down from November's rate...
Summary As expected, the FOMC raised the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.5%–4.75%. Chairman Powell focused on the Committee’s commitment to getting inflation down to its 2% target and pushed back on any questions about when a pause might be ...
Summary US recession fears linger on as softening activity spreads throughout the economy. There are also tentative signs that the labour market is cooling with increasing layoff announcements and slowing wage growth. Inflation pressures are subsiding and offer hope that the Fed wil...
Summary Market and policy trends continue to support fixed income assets. As widely expected, US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points at its latest meeting on Feb. 1. It appears that the Fed is not going to be so dogmatic as to force the economy into a major rece...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...