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Summary A historical look at prior inflationary periods (1910s, 1940s, and 1970s) to see what they have to say about the 2020s. An analysis of two very different types of money creation: fiscal-driven inflation and lending-driven inflation. An outlook on investment opportunities for...
Summary What the latest U.S. CPI data means for interest rates. What shelter costs tell us about the inflation fight going forward. Inflation may be easing, but pressures remain. U.S. consumer prices are showing signs of easing, but expectations remain that the Fed...
Summary The Fed is still planning on getting the CPI down to 2% on a year-over-year basis, and now it looks like they could get there - or at least a lot closer to it - sooner rather than later. The DXY has finally lifted its face off the floor following the Fed’s pivot to slower...
Summary Inflation may finally be coming down. But inflation coming down and returning to 2% are two different things. Consumers still expect high prices this year on many of the goods and services that dominate their spending. By Allison Schrager Inflation may fina...
Summary Fed Chair Jerome Powell talks the party line when he says the Fed may need to “do more” if we get more hot inflation and jobs reports. Employment is a lagging indicator. The fact that the jobs picture is fine now doesn’t mean it will be fine in six months. ...
Summary Inflation is in fact receding, for the same basket of reasons it went up - not math, but markets. Specifically, the market of money (interest rates), the market of goods (supply chains), and the market of labor (employment). Plus, an unexpected chaser: the disruptive potential o...
Summary Ahead of January’s CPI report on Tuesday, consumer expectations towards inflation are generally stable and trending lower. On a one-year basis, inflation expectations dropped ever so marginally falling from 4.99% down to 4.95%. Three-year inflation expectations droppe...
Summary The CPI number, which will be announced this week, will affect all of the markets and is going to significantly move both the bond and equity markets. What is interesting to note is the difference between the annual rate and the latest quarterly rates. It seems as if the Fed is ...
Summary Looking at the current US stock market, the determination of the next important market call is not known. Believers think the Fed can change inflation by controlling the interest rates. On the other side, there are pragmatists who see a much more complex world where stock and ot...
Summary The readings for October and November were also revised, taking a bite out of the “disinflation” scenario. The not-seasonally adjusted data was not revised. The core CPI was revised up for October, November, and December, showing much less “disinflation&...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...