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2023-05-04 12:00:00 ET Summary What are bond markets telling us about future Fed policy? How does the Fed navigate the numerous crosscurrents in the financial markets and economy? What's the outlook on the US dollar? The U.S. Federal Reserve delivers another ...
2023-05-04 04:36:12 ET Summary Today's 25 basis point rate hike was largely anticipated. Jay Powell's post-decision press conference was relatively dovish. The sell-off in stocks and the drop in rates that took place after the Fed's decision reflect fears about bank profitabil...
2023-05-03 22:03:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 25bp and signalled the threshold for justifying future rate increases is now higher than it was. With lending conditions rapidly tightening in the wake of recent bank stresses, we think this will mark ...
2023-05-03 17:30:00 ET Summary The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the U-3 US unemployment rate as 3.5 percent in March 2023, which is near historic lows. Looking at the aggregate number of jobs accounted for in recent WARN filings across 39 US states, a similar pattern to wha...
2023-05-03 17:21:00 ET Summary The “new” Fed Funds trading range now stands at 5%–5.25%, its highest level since 2007. Up to now, the economy was showing signs of slowing, and investors could even see zero or negative readings for real GDP in upcoming quarters...
2023-05-03 11:27:00 ET Summary Expectations at the start of the year were quite pessimistic. However, growth has remained surprisingly resilient—along with inflation. U.S. core inflation is still quite high. So in the last three or four months, it's been running at a sort o...
2023-05-03 01:55:00 ET Summary Leading indicators of recession continue to worsen, as do many financial/credit metrics, but the economy stubbornly refuses to decline. Inflation continued to be elevated in March and, importantly, remained well above the Fed’s long-term goal ...
2023-05-03 01:36:00 ET Summary Why there may be other small lenders set to fail. The Fed is sticking to plan and focusing on fighting inflation, and nothing else. Are niche banks bearing the brunt of interest rate hikes? JPMorgan Chase ( JPM ) has agreed ...
2023-05-02 02:55:00 ET Summary The US money supply data for March 2023, which were published on Tuesday of this week, reveal that the monetary inflation rate has continued its ‘swan dive’. As illustrated below, the year-over-year growth rate of US True Money Supply (...
2023-04-30 05:36:00 ET Summary There have been glimmers of hope in 2023 that the inflation fixation of 2022 was a transitory phenomenon. Regulated prices tend to be more discrete and more lagged in their changes due to bureaucratic delays and their negotiated nature. In our vi...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...