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2023-05-09 20:20:00 ET Summary Wednesday morning the much-awaited CPI report is released by the BLS and as the clock ticks down to the 8:30 release, market expectations are the YoY inflation rate will come in at 5%. A low monthly inflation rate was also reported in April 2022, i.e...
2023-05-09 02:25:00 ET Summary It's true that the Fed is very tight and the yield curve is very inverted - both being classical precursors to recessions in the past. While some observers note with concern the unprecedented decline in the M2 money supply over the past year, I view ...
2023-05-09 02:10:00 ET Summary Central bank hiking cycles in the developed world are slowly but surely coming to an end, raising the question of whether they have pulled off a soft landing. On the face of it, the answer to this question is a resounding no. Interest rates in Europe...
2023-05-09 00:25:00 ET Summary Last week saw the FOMC make one-and-one-half decisions on Wednesday, followed two days later with the release of the most recent jobs data. In commenting on the statement at the post-meeting press conference, Chairman Powell was emphatic that the Com...
2023-05-08 19:59:00 ET Summary After more than 10 years providing guidance in both words and actions, central banks now feel forced to abandon this approach and set policy purely in response to economic data. Portfolios that have recognized the change in landscape and actively man...
2023-05-08 11:50:00 ET Summary Financial cracks from rate hikes have led to jitters over commercial real estate. Yet, granularity is key. We see opportunities in some U.S. industrial properties. The Federal Reserve signaled a pause may follow last week’s rate hike. Yet, job...
2023-05-06 02:00:00 ET Summary There is a thread running between the three crises being felt in the US right now. There are a number of indicators that we can track to help assess where we are and where we are likely to get to. The genesis of bank stresses in part reflects the...
2023-05-06 01:40:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to raise its target rate range by 25 basis points on Wednesday. The FOMC has increased its target rate ten times in the past fourteen months. The target rate range is now 5.0 to ...
2023-05-05 15:07:00 ET Summary With inflation still elevated and the labor market still “extraordinarily tight,” Fed chair Jerome Powell has kept the door slightly ajar for another hike. Markets had almost fully priced in a 25 bps rate increase, so the May 3rd decisi...
2023-05-04 12:00:00 ET Summary What are bond markets telling us about future Fed policy? How does the Fed navigate the numerous crosscurrents in the financial markets and economy? What's the outlook on the US dollar? The U.S. Federal Reserve delivers another ...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...