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2023-07-31 07:00:00 ET Summary Both headline and core inflation measures have made material progress to the downside in recent months. Headline CPI should continue grinding lower in the short term, but, any sustained rise in energy and food prices would likely see inflation pressu...
2023-07-31 05:38:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve raised its federal funds rate target range to 5.25 to 5.50 percent on Wednesday. Core PCEPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices and is therefore thought to be a better predictor of future inflation, is also falling. ...
2023-07-29 03:15:00 ET Summary After Wednesday’s FOMC meeting, we figured the likelihood of another hike at the next meeting, in September, was more or less a coin flip. Then came the second quarter GDP report on Thursday, showing that the US economy grew by 2.4 percent (an...
2023-07-29 02:35:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve’s decision to raise policy rates by 25 basis points at their July meeting was no surprise to investors. However, future policy decisions are decidedly less certain and will be heavily influenced by the level of core inflati...
2023-07-28 21:30:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve has expressed concerns about a double bump in inflation. That is a scenario where inflation surges and then jumps higher again for various reasons. The most common period of concern is the 1970s where inflation surged in the 1973-...
2023-07-27 10:20:00 ET Summary Overall inflation has moderated in the United States and euro area. But core inflation, excluding food and energy prices, has declined more slowly. Services inflation has proven to be particularly sticky. At the same time, financial conditions have e...
2023-07-25 21:10:00 ET Summary The June M2 number was released today and it was unremarkable. ear over year M2 growth is running at about a -4% rate, while M2 has been relatively flat over the past three months. It continues to amaze me that only a handful of Fed watchers pay ...
2023-07-25 00:52:00 ET Summary Why markets may continue to rally but at a slower pace. The U.S. economy continues to send mixed signals to investors. Why we may be in an earnings recession. Equity markets have performed better than expected so far this year. But ca...
2023-07-24 05:37:00 ET Summary Markets assume that a 25 bps rate increase at the FOMC’s meeting next Wednesday will wrap up the Fed’s tightening cycle. The S&P 500 increased 0.7% (up 18.1% y-t-d), and the Dow jumped 2.1% (up 6.3%). Federal Reserve Credit decl...
2023-07-21 08:00:00 ET Summary The cyclical "inflation" up-swings and down-swings should become evident in commodity prices first and consumer prices last. While this price deflation could be viewed as a positive by those who are not within the ranks of the directly affected produ...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...