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Me Want 3-Year Bond So, like, this is happening: US Treasury The entire curve is inverted with the 6-month bill, and the 3-month is not far behind. Everything from the 1-year on is inverted with Fed Funds. As you can see, investors cannot get enough of the 2 through 5-year maturities...
Judging by several key economic indicators, it's reasonable to assume that inflation will remain steady at a moderate pace. US GDP growth in the first quarter quickened to a solid 3.2% increase and the labor market expanded at a strong pace in April . Later this year, the expansion will bec...
The U.S. and China vow to dig in their heels as simmering trade tensions between the two countries risk boiling over into an all-out trade war. Kim Parlee speaks with Scott Colbourne , Managing Director at TD Asset Management, about the potential economic impact of tit-for-tat tariffs ...
In the past few years, I wrote a lot about the unprecedented credit crisis I foresee. I call it “The Great Reset.” I have to add, it isn’t what I think the future should look like or what I want to see. But almost the entire developed world has painted itself into a...
By Kevin Flanagan I don't want to bore you with just another blog post on the Fed. So, instead of debating whether the policymakers at the Fed should cut rates, stay on the sidelines or, dare I say it, raise rates, let's turn our attention elsewhere... their balance sheet. The Fed has been...
Last year saw something exceedingly rare. For a period of 9 months there were exclusively rate hikes by the major central banks we monitor. But this period of tightening is turning, and now rate cuts are beginning to dominate again. If this was an important chart last year, you better believe ...
Straggler behind the Fed and the ECB gets the drift Total assets on the balance sheet of the Bank of Japan at the end of April ticked up from March but were flat with the record in February: ¥562 trillion ($5.1 trillion). This amounts to a gigantic 102.2% of nominal GDP. But the BOJ...
Treasury yields are likely at a temporary sticking point, waiting for the next catalyst to move yields materially in either direction. When I talk about yields being at an important level, it should not be confused with technical analysis. I don't use technical analysis in my approach. The ec...
We didn't know what we thought we knew. As far as market participants understood it, a Sino-US trade pact was a done deal. Last year's escalations gave way to a steady stream of recycled headlines about "progress" in 2019. Talks are always "constructive", according to Steve Mnuchin. China i...
By James Smith , Developed Markets Economist US inflation back to target, but it won't help market pessimism US headline CPI has nudged back up to the 2% target for the first time since November, helped along by the 30% rise in gasoline prices since the low at the start of the year. B...
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2024-05-27 04:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-07 12:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-19 02:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...