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In this article we will discuss the longer-term outlook for global interest rates and in particular longer-dated bond yields (NYSE: TLT ). The main purpose of this article is not to make any predictions over the short-term but serve as guidepost for potential shifts in deep secular trends th...
How much higher can bond yields go before equities are knocked off their perch? That's a question that's likely to be on the lips of many market participants in the weeks ahead assuming all signs continue to point to an interim trade agreement between the world's two largest economies. Ov...
Introduction Given the ample historical evidence, this seems to be a classic scenario surrounding a yield curve inversion before a recession. None of the leading indicators are clearly signaling that this time could be different. - Who Wants To Bet Against The Yield Curve: Is This ...
Measuring The Backup In Interest Rates - Is This 2016? Since early September, after enjoying a historic rally, long-term Treasury rates have become increasingly volatile, rising nearly 30 basis points on the benchmark 30-year yield. Before deconstructing the move higher in Treasury rates,...
The Fed’s reluctant decision to flood the overnight market with cash in the coming months was surely a surprise, even for monetary policymakers. As explained in the last article , the run-up in repo rates of September was no surprise to market veterans. Repo run-ups around statement da...
Federal Reserve officials got a little “shock” in the banking week ending September 18, 2019. The reserve deposits that the commercial banks hold at Federal Reserve banks, surprisingly dropped below $1.4 trillion . This surprise caused Fed officials to go into “alert&...
Two weeks ago, many were worried about the market “bump” that the Federal Reserve had to deal with. The market disturbance came in the area of repurchase agreements and the Fed responded quickly, and, in my opinion, kept things quiet although some analysts wanted to make a bigger...
RECESSION ANGST VS. RECESSION REALITIES Global growth have been at the center of investor worries, but in some geographies, this is currently more a function of anticipation than hard data. Looking into the fourth quarter of 2019, we would break the world into two groups. Europe and some m...
Repogeddon Breitbart and ZeroHedge have been shouting that the financial markets are in chaos, disaster looms, over the spike in repo rates. This isn't actually a serious problem whatever is being said. Sure, there's a reasonable argument that we'd prefer not to have repo rates of 10% ...
BlackRock CEFs renew share repurchase programs In this week's Weekly Closed-End Fund Roundup, we noted that BlackRock announced the renewal of share purchases in its closed-end fund line-up. According to the press release : Certain BlackRock Closed-End Funds Announce Renewal of S...
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2024-05-09 13:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-10 02:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-21 02:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...