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Summary Some think we're witnessing the largest disconnection in history between bond yields and the economic cycle. They expect yields to tank in tandem with the slowing economic growth. Had this been true, yields should have already been significantly lower. We, on the other...
Summary Stocks and bonds and commodities continued to trade and move around in price but there was no news to which those movements could be attributed. Most of what passes for news, the things people credit with moving markets on a day-to-day or week-to-week basis, is nothing mor...
Summary The current bull market (started on 03/09/2009) still is alive now as of 09/09/2022. The S&P 500 gained five times for 13 years and six months. A bear market is determined by the movements of S&P 500 first, and a bull market follows. Not the other way. Four...
Summary This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. There is a 28.17% probability that the 3-month yield falls in this range, a change from 28.57% one week before. For the 10-year Treasu...
Summary In “normal” times, bonds would be expected to thrive in a weakening economy. But this year, that old truism has been thrown out the window. The NASDAQ is taking its cue from the long bond yield. It’s down 23%, and the S&P 500 Growth index is tracki...
Summary The main economic data release for the trading week is the US inflation report. The UK economy is in a precarious position and facing a recession. Chinese President Xi is expected to meet with Russian President Putin at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in U...
Summary Even at a zero fixed rate, I Bonds have a return equal to the inflation rate measured by the Urban CPI and beat all other risk-free short-term alternatives. The flexibility of I Bonds means that you can exit at any time after a year (sacrificing 3 months yield for the firs...
Summary A global multi-sector approach can deliver much more than just international diversification. If investors are willing to expand their horizons, in our view, they stand a much better chance of meeting their investment goals. No single fixed-income sector can dominate year ...
Summary Despite a rough first half of 2022, bonds still have an important role to play in your portfolio, offering potential income, diversification, and capital preservation. After adjusting to the Fed’s rate hikes, short-term corporate bonds may now offer potentially high...
Summary As revealed in the article title, BSV is the largest single holding in my personal portfolio. Why, though, is this the case? What is it about this particular ETF that causes me to rely on it so heavily? In this article, I feature some very unique characteristics of BSV...
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2024-07-10 03:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-20 05:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-10 06:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...