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Summary The Federal Reserve’s 75 basis point increase resulted in a yield curve twist, with shorter term Treasury yields shifting up and longer term yields moving down. The forward 1-month U.S. Treasury yield now peaks at 4.68%, down 21 basis points from last week. This...
Summary EVG looked like a better deal earlier this year, but the discount has narrowed. That pushes me to be more cautious overall because the valuation isn't attractive enough to compensate for risks. If you are already holding this fund, it doesn't appear overvalued, but a c...
Summary The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF has been falling this year because the Federal Reserve is raising interest rates. The Fed is raising rates by large percentages, but only reducing inflation slightly. Corporate bonds aren't attractive with treasuries having higher yie...
Summary The stocks that get the most positive coverage are very rarely good buys even in a bull market. There will likely be no real buying opportunities until the current downward momentum of the market flattens out. Don't let fear of inflation push you to buy investments tha...
In the wake of the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate hike, Treasury yields have taken off on Thursday, placing downward pressure on exchange traded funds that are tied to the moves in the bond market. On Thursday, Wall Street has watched the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield ( US10...
Summary As comments from heads of central banks go, yesterday’s press conference was relatively lucid. In the case of deciding when the bond market writ large bottoms and begins an extended rise, a fourth factor comes into play: investor sentiment. As yields rise and in...
Summary The article is mainly to write a handy guide about how to start “Investing and Trading” for various investors. The top-to-bottom is my base. A recession is likely not in the near future. The Terminal rate is 4.5%. A bull market (started on Mar. 09, 2009) is s...
Summary As we start the third week of September, with the US Fed’s much-telegraphed rate hike on Wednesday (+.75 with some 30% betting odds of a full percent!), markets are peaked. To date, Canada’s TSX -13% is just a quarter through the price correction experienced ...
Summary The negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread has now persisted for 53 trading days, widening significantly this week to a negative 45 basis points from negative 23 basis points last week. This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Tr...
Exchange traded funds tied to the price action of Treasury yields are pushed lower as yields climb ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision that is scheduled for later this week. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield ( US10Y ) has moved up 5 basis points early on to 3.50%, ...
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2024-07-10 03:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-20 05:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-10 06:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...