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2023-04-17 09:21:34 ET Summary Current traded Treasury yields imply a sharp drop in 1-month Treasury forward rates and 3-month Treasury bill simulated rates. This drop, which occurs between 1 year and 2 years from today, is the most dramatic in recent memory. The most surprisi...
2023-04-11 13:18:35 ET Summary The Fed was quick to keep rates near zero when the pandemic struck. However, it made a mistake to see inflation as transitory and kept rates low for too long. As a result, the Fed needed to raise rates at an aggressive pace and magnitude to keep infl...
2023-04-10 11:45:58 ET Summary SPE regularly trades at a discount, but that discount has been widening significantly. The fund suffered in 2022, as did most equities and bonds, but held up relatively better than the market. With a larger weighting to CEFs, the fund also had to...
2023-04-10 10:20:00 ET Summary The assembly and management of investor money in portfolios is the real art of investing, not buying and selling individual securities. Each portfolio should have a narrow focus, often built around the timing and execution of the beneficiary’s...
2023-04-10 09:30:00 ET Summary As the Federal Reserve signals that its rate will top out at 5% in May, higher yields in fixed income are slowly disappearing. The highest rates found in fixed rate investments change in a cyclical way as the fed's rate rises and falls. We pinpoint w...
2023-04-10 03:30:00 ET Summary The U.S. economy is slowing. A major tightening of real estate lending is now unfolding. The biggest lesson from Kuroda's rein: No individual (or small group) should ever have such absolute power to inflate. April 7 - Bloomberg (Alexa...
2023-04-09 08:51:45 ET Summary The current bout of negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spreads will become the third longest once 221 consecutive trading days exhibit a red spread. Despite considerable movement on the very short end of the US Treasury yield curve, the longer term hum...
2023-04-07 23:30:00 ET Summary The old investment playbook is out and a new regime that considers high inflation and interest rates is in. Recent events in the banking sector around SVB and Credit Suisse have made clear the importance of staying nimble as investors. Our expect...
2023-04-07 05:30:00 ET Summary The promise of diversification failed in 2022 as both equities and fixed income declined. Some investors are questioning whether the traditional 60% equity/ 40% fixed income balanced portfolio remains a valid strategy. Over history, balanced port...
2023-04-05 00:35:00 ET Summary Risk On! March continued the one-month-on, one-month off pattern seen so far in this young year, with nearly stocks and bonds bouncing back from Feb losses with March gains. The big story was managed futures with a big down month driven by the sharp ...
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2024-07-10 03:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-20 05:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-10 06:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...