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2024-01-08 16:28:32 ET Summary Changes in long-term inflation expectations and real interest rates have driven bond market volatility. The correlation between crude oil storage levels and the price of bonds is notable, pointing toward shortage risks creating more inflationary pres...
2024-01-08 13:25:00 ET Summary The runup in yields for most of the major asset classes has peaked, based on a trailing 1-year payout rates for a set of ETFs through Jan. 5, 2024. The main catalysts that could drive payout rates higher again include a sharp drop in asset prices and...
2024-01-08 08:06:45 ET Summary iShares Core Total USD Bond Market ETF offers exposure to the entire bond market, including junk bonds. IUSB has a similar performance to the largest "total" bond market ETF, BND, with a slight outperformance over the past 5 years. IUSB is a suit...
2024-01-08 05:55:04 ET Summary The Treasury curve moved up 17 basis points at 2 years and up 17 basis points at 10 years over the last week. As a result, the current negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread was unchanged this week at negative 35 basis points. The probability th...
2024-01-03 12:52:23 ET More on Markets Bitcoin plunges ahead of potential spot ETF approval by SEC AllianceBernstein expects the Fed to keep rates elevated until the second half of 2024 Job openings slip more than expected in November - JOLTS report ISM Manuf...
2024-01-03 10:08:00 ET Summary The calendar year 2023 proved to be an incredible roller-coaster for U.S. fixed income. Sentiment in the money and bond markets shifted dramatically and yield levels plummeted across the board, while MBS and corporate bond spreads narrowed considerab...
2024-01-03 09:15:00 ET Summary The long-term return forecast for the Global Market Index ticked lower in December, easing to an expected 6.7% annualized total return, based on the average of three models. In line with recent history, the ex-ante return for US stocks is the outlier...
2024-01-02 14:50:00 ET Summary Real estate securities rebounded sharply in December, leading the broad-based gains for the major asset classes in the final month of 2023, based on a set of ETFs. Commodities, by contrast, were the downside outlier for December and for the calendar ...
2024-01-02 10:36:21 ET Summary Looking back over the history of the U.S. Treasury curve, what premium has been earned by investors who buy fixed-rate Treasury bonds instead of rolling over 6-month Treasury bills? The surprising answer is that this premium has never been negative f...
2023-12-31 10:40:49 ET Summary The Treasury curve moved down 8 basis points at 2 years and down 2 basis points at 10 years over the last week. As a result, the current negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread narrowed this week from negative 41 to negative 35 basis points The proba...
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2024-07-10 03:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-20 05:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-10 06:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...