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The long-term bond futures reached a multi-year low in early May. An anemic bounce runs into resistance. The Fed is far behind the inflationary curve - Supply-side macroeconomic dynamics support higher rates and lower bond futures. The TLT follows the bond market higher and lo...
The Federal Reserve has a pretty precise plan for how it would like to raise its policy rate of interest over the rest of 2022. The Federal Reserve now has added a picture of how it will act to reduce the size of the Fed's portfolio of securities so as to complement the rate increases...
The common view is that you can't fight the Fed. History tells us that the common view is simply not true. The bond market is finally bottoming out over the coming months and should begin a major rally into 2023. For further details see: Sentiment Speaks: Big Bond Rally ...
I remain of the view that inflation is transitory, and economic weakness is starting to show up in the data. Current yields on the 10 Year Treasury Note were rejected and rates fell previously, when the world was far less indebted. High rates are unsustainable. The bearish argumen...
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) - $0.1480. 30-Day SEC Yield of 3.08% as of May. 27. Payable Jun 06; for shareholders of record Jun 02; ex-div Jun 01. For further details see: Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF declares monthly distribution of $0.1480
The peak in forward rates underlying the U.S. Treasury yield curve closed the week at 4.24%, up 0.10% from last week. This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. There is a 28.90% probabilit...
Monetary policy is meant to alter market behavior as the Fed tries to steer the economy toward its dual mandates of price stability and full employment. The stock market correction has been painful, and it may not be over. Avoiding pitfalls in fixed income is always important, eve...
Bond ETFs are typically passively managed, meaning they seek to track the performance of specific segments of the bond market. Bond ETFs tend to have low management fees, no loads and low transaction costs. These savings help contribute to investors keeping more of what they earn. ...
Inflation remains front of mind for investors and policymakers alike. As the year progresses, expectation is for the growth to slow, bringing inflation gradually lower. Subduing inflation takes time, and the path may be rocky. For further details see: Inflation: Higher B...
The Treasury yield curve has seen a considerable shift up since the beginning of the year. Today, the 10-year Treasury note is trading in line with the Fed’s expected neutral rate, and there are signs traditional bond-equity correlations are returning. Due in large part to ...
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2024-07-10 03:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-20 05:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-10 06:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...