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There may be what appear to be valid reasons for dismissing international bonds when constructing one's portfolio. And yet, an examination of professionally-managed portfolios reveals that these are included. In the first section of the article, I look at the reasons given by companie...
We present the SAS Weekly Forecast as of August 5, 2022. The market has now had more than three weeks to adjust to the negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread, now at a negative 31 basis points. Inverted Treasury Yields: Inverted now, 87.5% probability by February 3, 2023. ...
There it was… the old dead cat bounce as investors suddenly decided maybe things are so bad the Fed will not just stop raising rates, but eventually cut rates – and started buying hand over fist in reaction. And what a bounce it was for US Stocks and Real estate, which b...
The long-term expected return for the GMI remains moderately below the index’s trailing realized 10-year performance through July, based on the average of three forecasting models. For historical perspective on how GMI’s realized total return has evolved through time, co...
The S&P 500 rallied 4.3% (down 13.3% y-t-d), and the Dow rose 3.0% (down 9.6%). The Banks gained 2.1% (down 18.0%), and the Broker/Dealers recovered 4.8% (down 11.0%). The Transports advanced 5.8% (down 11.3%). Investment-grade bond funds posted outflows of $2.442 billion, whi...
The majority of the major asset classes rebounded in July, providing relief from an extended run of red ink, based on a set of proxy ETFs. The challenges that triggered widespread selling in global markets this year remain in force – the war in Ukraine, high inflation, rising i...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, July 29, 2022. Inverted yields, negative rates, and U.S. Treasury probabilities 10 years forward. 500,000 scenarios based on daily U.S. Treasury yield data since January 2, 1962. The market has now had more than two weeks to adjust to the negati...
During the first half of 2022, the classic 60/40 portfolio produced the worst returns since 1976. Does that imply the 60/40 model is dead? As part of my examination, I will provide a 42-month update on the 'perfect portfolio' I proposed to SA readers in February 2019. While the re...
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF ( BND ) - $0.1533 . 30-Day SEC Yield of 3.32% as of July. 28. Payable Aug 04; for shareholders of record Aug 02; ex-div Aug 01. For further details see: Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF declares monthly distribution of $0.1533
The only asset to generate safe stable income may be high-quality short-term bonds. To maximize income, use a separately managed account (SMA) of short duration MBS, managed by a small manager. You can target a 4.00% yield with a mortgage-backed securities (MBS) SMA. Way more income t...
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2024-07-10 03:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-20 05:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-10 06:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...