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Summary Active central banks may create attractive opportunities for discretionary macro managers who can take advantage of higher volatility, higher rates and dynamic policy changes. The Russia-Ukraine conflict remains a large overhang across almost the entire commodity complex. ...
Summary An imminent recession is predicted by Bloomberg probability models that now forecast a 100% likelihood of a US recession hitting by October 2023, up from 65% for the comparable period in the previous update. Record rate hikes in 2022 have rendered the most negative 10-year...
Summary The 2 year/10 year spread in the US Treasury market has now been negative for 72 trading days. The spread is currently minus 48 basis points. The 1-month forward U.S. Treasury yield now peaks at 5.25%, up 32 basis points from last week. The summary data from today...
Summary U.S. recession risks are rising and stagflation may be poised for a comeback. A strong job market has kept us from entering such an environment, but recession risks are rising as the Federal Reserve has vowed to maintain a restrictive monetary policy to rein in inflation -...
Summary For the most part, 2022 has unfolded largely on script, with inflation proving stubborn and the Federal Reserve seeking to cut off the spigot. Despite the general monetary trend toward stiff tightening on a global basis, individual countries continue to initiate moves to s...
Summary The near-term forward 1-month U.S. Treasury yield now peaks at 4.84%, up 31 basis points from last week. The negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread has now persisted for 68 trading days, widening slightly this week to a negative 41 basis points from negative 39 basis poin...
Summary The broadest measure of the bond market, the Bloomberg US Aggregate Index, has returned -14.61% YTD through the end of the third quarter. All segments of the bond market have posted negative returns YTD. 2022 is shaping up to be the worst performance year in the 45-yea...
Summary Geopolitical tensions, elevated market volatility, and the fastest pace of central bank tightening in decades are contributing to an unusually uncertain economic environment. In addition to higher income potential, yields are high enough to provide the potential for capita...
Summary YTD, the S&P 500 is now down 24% while bonds have their own double-digit losses. Like stock valuations, currency valuations aren’t great timing tools but over a 3-year period after becoming undervalued, the outperformance is strong. Consumer defensive stocks...
Summary A rational extraction of market expectations from the US Treasury yield history since 1962 shows an upward shift this week. Both forward rates and expected future yield levels are up from last week, with the expected range for 3-month Treasuries in 10 years up to 1% to 2%....
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PIMCO Active Bond Exchange-Traded Fund Exchange-Traded Fund Company Name:
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2024-02-18 19:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-11-26 04:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
NEWPORT BEACH, Calif., Oct. 28, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PIMCO, one of the world’s premier fixed income investment managers, has announced its intent to transfer the exchange listing of its actively managed exchange-traded fund, PIMCO Active Bond Exchange-Traded Fund (BOND), to the N...