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Russia-Ukraine crisis: What's Putin's next move? A full regime change in Ukraine may be tougher than Putin thinks. Bond market surprise: Why didn't long bonds react to Russian attack? For further details see: Russia-Ukraine Crisis: What's Putin's Next Move?
Bond market sentiment is reaching extreme levels. Treasury volatility, as measured by the MOVE Index, spiked to very high readings. We see intermediate-term fixed-income rates near fair value for now. For further details see: Rise In Bond Yields Looks Like An Exhausted M...
Investors who think they have no macro exposure quite often are just unaware of what macro risks they are running. One complaint I have seen multiple times that people were annoyed that macro analysts were opining on the topic, despite a lack of qualifications in international relatio...
Markets are definitely seeing a slowdown in exuberant activity, with the activity in M&A and also results in tech being our favourite leading indicators. Inflation is also a concern to investors and the economy, and could result in a bear market if it continues to run rampant. ...
The Fed often seems to consider the market a leading indicator of the economy, and therefore it factors into their decisions. If the market turns sour, likely due to a combination of factors ultimately leading back to inflation, Fed rate hikes will likely happen with more conviction t...
Inflation is persisting, with the Fed having made clear plans to dial back monetary policy to deal with it. While the language of it being transient is being retired, we continue to believe that this is a supply side problem that hasn't been given a chance to resolve itself. Short...
The market expects at least four rate hikes beginning in March setting the stage for a tough year for fixed income. All else equal, higher yielding asset classes may hold up better as rates rise because a higher level of income earned will help to offset price losses as rates rise. ...
Investors that hold bonds to maturity earn the yield at which they purchased the security, and at maturity, they get paid face value. The US government issues its own currency and can always pay for anything with the Fed’s newly created money. Fixed income investors have go...
The bear market's onset will be dependent on inflation, which is related on one hand to geopolitical factors in the immediate future, but also to assumptions about the economy. We think that the potential Russian invasion of Ukraine could cause a bear market on the basis that it would...
We have a couple of themes at work: inflation, rate hikes in order to combat inflation, and the negative economic impacts of both. These factors have meant that the yield curve is flattening, with short term rates rising faster than long term, with higher rates meaning bond demand is ...
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2024-02-18 19:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-11-26 04:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
NEWPORT BEACH, Calif., Oct. 28, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PIMCO, one of the world’s premier fixed income investment managers, has announced its intent to transfer the exchange listing of its actively managed exchange-traded fund, PIMCO Active Bond Exchange-Traded Fund (BOND), to the N...