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The expected risk premium for the Global Market (GMI) ticked up in August, reaching an annualized 6.1%, slightly above the previous month’s estimate. Despite the comparatively high GMI forecast, the current estimate remains well below the index’s realized risk premium fo...
Why yields have been falling, and whether bond markets are trying to signal to any important trends to investors, particularly in light of the fact that we've seen equities reach new highs. This is a market environment, or a trading environment, that feels like people want to add dura...
The winning streak for American shares rolled on in August. US stocks rose for a seventh straight month and posted the strongest gain for the major asset classes. US bonds also lost ground in August. The Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index slipped 0.2%, the first monthly decline for the be...
The option-adjusted-spread ((OAS)) on the investment grade or high-grade corporate bond index, is presently about 95-100 bps better than the equivalent Treasury. As of last Friday, August 27th, 2021, the BBB OAS was yielding about 104 bp’s over equivalent Treasuries, which shou...
The unprecedented demand for U.S. Treasuries at last week’s auction - even as the 10-year yield approached its 50-day moving average - speaks volumes. Yields did slip notably last Friday back below 1.3% (the day after the auction), closing below their 200-day moving average. Th...
2 things that always happen at or prior to the start of a boom-to-bust transition for the US economy. One is a clear-cut widening of credit spreads. The other is pronounced weakness in the Industrial Metals Index (GYX) relative to the gold price. There are many different credit-spread...
SCO is an ideal way to short oil as it trades 2x inverse with WTI futures. Global growth is downshifting while OPEC+ is ramping production. Call options on Bank of America provide a hedge if oil does not decline, as this scenario would involve higher US yields - supportive of net inte...
I promised readers of my book, "The Income Factory: An Investor's Guide to Consistent Lifetime Returns," that I would periodically review and update the model portfolios here on Seeking Alpha. Obviously a lot has happened (COVID, the energy crash and recovery, etc.) since the McGraw-H...
GMI’s 10-year Sharpe ratio (SR) edged up for a fifth straight month to 0.86, the highest since January 2020, based on a rolling ten-year window via monthly data. Profiling GMI through a drawdown lens also reflects an extended stretch of low risk. GMI is useful as a baseline...
MFS Intermediate High Income Fund (NYSE:CIF) declares $0.01937/share monthly dividend, vs. prior dividend of $0.01934. Forward yield 7.08% Payable Aug. 31; for shareholders of record Aug. 18; ex-div Aug. 17. See CIF Dividend Scorecard, Yield Chart, & Dividend Growth. For further details...
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Shares of MFS Intermediate High Income Fund (NYSE:CIF) traded at a new 52-week high today of $2.99. Approximately 57,000 shares have changed hands today, as compared to an average 30-day volume of 78,000 shares. Mfs Intermediate High Income Fund is a United States based diversified close...
MFS Intermediate High Income Fund (NYSE:CIF) traded today at a new 52-week high of $2.95. Approximately 55,000 shares have changed hands today, as compared to an average 30-day volume of 74,000 shares. In the past 52 weeks, MFS Intermediate High Income Fund share prices are bracketed by ...
MFS Investment Management ® (MFS ® ) announced today monthly distributions of the following closed-end funds, all with declaration dates of January 2, 2019, ex-dividend dates of January 15, 2019, record dates of January 16, 2019, and payable dates of January 31, 2019: ^The fun...