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Data released in June showed that annual headline CPI inflation - previously thought to be cooling - had touched a new 40-year high. Substantial rate hikes are possible as the Fed remains focused on stabilizing prices; however, in the process, a recession may become unavoidable. W...
Commodities (used in the production of goods) are considered a leading indicator of inflation. Recessions are a normal corrective phase of the economic cycle, but politicians, central banks, most financial advisors, and economists never see them coming. Central bank policies can h...
Industrial metals have come under pressure with global recession prospects increasing. The divergence between metals and energy prices indicates further downside to come for energy. Key headwinds for the global economy have been realized through declining demand for metals, now en...
We remain cautious in equities, but in fixed income, investors now have more yield and credit spread to work with. We think that the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes for this cycle are becoming increasingly priced into the yield curve. Our fixed income team has stress-tested fo...
Earnings for the S&P 500, according to Howard Silverblatt’s work at S&P, are expected to rise 7.7% in 2022. Growth stocks were grossly overvalued going into that bear market and they took the brunt of the damage. Real estate did well last week with rates falling bac...
SPX has seen record negativity (since 2020) last week: Worst back-to-back days, 3 consecutive days of <-1%, 47th day of <2% for the year. At the same time, inflation isn't showing any sign of easing, and the Fed is being forced to hike fast and furious; a 75bps hike this week is...
Despite gradually decreasing its pay-out by almost 79 percent, GGN has recorded an average yield of almost 13 percent over the past 10 years. GGN’s investments are in commodities (gold, mining, energy), which tend to rise alongside inflation, and are considered safer bets durin...
In a more fractured world, we believe governments and corporate decision-makers will increasingly focus on searching for safety and building resilience. Looking forward, rather than reaching for yield, we believe that investors will be reaching for resilience in their portfolio constr...
Success in investing over the long term isn’t just about picking winners. By adopting a balanced diversified approach, your portfolio stands a better chance of achieving a stable return over time. In a rapid rising environment for equity markets, we expect fixed income to u...
The Fed's surprise 75 basis point hike last week blew Treasury yields out, with a small reversal at the end of the week. Such a reversal is typical after large moves. Risk-free rates are literally the simplest instrument to price in finance, and so the rates market ends up being close...
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2024-07-10 14:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-10 17:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-30 01:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...