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Summary The economic data released last week continued to show a modest improvement in the economy since July. The 10-year Treasury yield has been rising since the summer of 2020 although there was a pullback in rates that lasted from April to August of last year. Best-perform...
Summary Equity markets have been powered higher by the TINA effect as yields have been unattractively low for years. Nominal and real yields have risen to potentially attractive levels due to the remarkable surge in inflation. The top priority for the Federal Reserve is to do ...
Summary Since Powell shocked the world with an unexpectedly hawkish speech last week, the market has been struggling to guess just how much worse a tighter Fed is going to be for the economy. As a first pass, the market has decided that it looks a bit scary: most risk assets are d...
Summary Today's market X-ray shows the returns for each index, asset class, sector, and so on, since the recent low point on June 16th. Of the global indices, US small caps are in the lead, followed by the NASDAQ. High beta stocks are the most preferred factors since June 16. ...
Summary The inverted yield curve is bearish short-term, but bullish long-term. While inverted yield curves have always preceded recession, this time it might be a sign of easing inflation. The US has never entered a recession with 3.5% unemployment. Given the mixed signals...
Equity markets have clearly taken notice of rising inflation - and not in a good way. Conventional wisdom has traditionally said different things about how equities and bonds should behave in an inflationary environment - some hold to the notion that stocks should be protected from hi...
We can’t actually see the present because there is a lag between the information being captured by our eyes and processed by our brains. The rising dollar, rising rate environment are well known and entrenched at this point. There are still some problems we have to get past...
Treasuries are unlikely to provide high long-term returns, but they are likely to outperform both commodities and equities over the coming quarters. The deceleration in three key indicators - commodity prices, corporate earnings, and interest rates - have historically implied cyclical...
An all-stock portfolio is usually a risky bet for retirees due to sequence of returns risk and inflation. That said, we can arrange stocks by sectors to better prepare for bear markets and any economic environment. It's the all-weather retirement stock portfolio. An all-...
The energy sector led during the month of July, providing almost all of the positive performance due to a strong rally in natural gas prices. The heat wave from late June into early July in the lower Midwest U.S. killed cattle, quickly reducing supply. However, both cattle and hogs ra...
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2024-07-18 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-08 17:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 19:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...