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Summary Mitigating the impact of inflation might mean cutting interest rate sensitivity by favoring shorter-dated fixed income but also trimming speculative growth exposure in equity portfolios. The market appears to seize on any sign of easing inflation to be bullish, while remai...
Summary The first half of the year saw GDP contract slightly and GDI expand slightly, and I interpret that as little to no growth. The money market futures I follow and the market based models I track all put the peak in rates somewhere between March and June of next year. I d...
Summary Core CPI, excludes food and energy, rose from July's year-over-year reading of 5.9% to a YoY rate of 6.3% in August. FedEx reported dismal earnings on Friday sending the stock down 21%. A large part of the economic data seems to be indicating the economy is slowing. ...
Summary A healthy and growing income stream is a wonderful benefit for retirees. Focusing entirely on dividends in the accumulation stage can create incredible opportunity costs. Continuing the dividend devotion in retirement can add insult to injury. You will leave so much va...
Summary Today, every major part of the world economy is seemingly prone to a serious economic crisis. The European economy is perhaps the most immediate cause for concern. All of these world economic problems have to raise serious questions about the wisdom of the Federal Rese...
Summary Gold is trading near the pivotal $1,700 level. A break below would complete a bearish topping pattern. More importantly, gold has served as a leading indicator for inflation. Gold broke out as early as June 2019, way ahead of the commodity complex. Gold's next big dire...
Summary Stocks and bonds and commodities continued to trade and move around in price but there was no news to which those movements could be attributed. Most of what passes for news, the things people credit with moving markets on a day-to-day or week-to-week basis, is nothing mor...
Summary OPEC cuts production but WTI crude falls to print fresh 52 week lows. Other commodity markets are also showing weakness. There is a big divergence between news (higher inflation story) and price action. Key chart to watch: Invesco DB Commodity Index ETF (DBC). ...
Summary Jackson Hole reset expectations to focus more on inflation. The U.S. dollar should stabilize over the medium-term amid hawkishness from other central banks and slowing economic data. At stake is Europe’s ability to refill their storage tanks ahead of winter. ...
Summary The economic data released last week continued to show a modest improvement in the economy since July. The 10-year Treasury yield has been rising since the summer of 2020 although there was a pullback in rates that lasted from April to August of last year. Best-perform...
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2024-07-18 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-08 17:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 19:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...