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Summary Avoiding envy, and its associated pitfalls, is one of the simple secrets to a successful investment portfolio. Value once again outperformed Growth in the last week. After closing below the 200-day moving average for two weeks running, the US Dollar seems firmly entrenched i...
Summary The market implications of price caps on Russian oil. As Russian price caps kick in, what it means for oil production. Why oil prices are giving up gains for the year and sitting at a new 2022 low. As the G7’s new price cap on Russian oil kicks in, a...
Summary Contrary to what most gold bugs believe it is not inflation but rather, its macro foil, deflation that will bring about the best gold mining fundamental backdrop. While ignored every step of the way since mid-2020 (gold bugs love inflation, after all), we have had a bearish gold...
Summary I expect some pullback or consolidation in the stock market in the near term. Leading stocks such as Enphase are not breaking out successfully. This tells me that the market is not in good health. Notable charts that caught my eye: uranium potentially on verge of big breakdo...
Summary A portfolio called DIVAR invests in top 5 stocks selected from a list of 65 dividend aristocrats. Changes made to the strategy: (1) new 3-state market risk indicator and (2) new risk-off assets, DBC and UUP. Simulation results from 9/1/2007 to 11/30/2022. Comparison of t...
Summary US equity markets have gotten off to a very weak start to December with four consecutive declines to start the month (and futures on Wednesday pointing to a fifth straight day). For most of the year heading into December, we saw the bond market fall in tandem with stocks, but re...
Summary The Adaptive Momentum Investing was launched in July 2021. Changes made to the strategy: (1) New 3-state market risk indicator and (2) new risk-off assets. Simulation results from 9/1/2007 to 11/30/2022. Comparison of live portfolio trading with a buy-and-hold benchmark ...
Summary Expectations surrounding central bank policy, China’s gradual reopening and a lower US dollar are key to investor sentiment in the final stretch of 2022. Central banks have increased interest rates at the fastest rate on record, and there are signs that higher yields are ...
Summary Energy prices are likely to underperform other commodities in coming months. Commodities generally have likely entered an extended period of depressed returns. A resumption in the decline of commodity prices, especially oil, suggest that we are entering a new, deflationary p...
Summary The average spread between the 10-year Treasury and the 30-year mortgage rate has averaged 1.7% since 1990 and now stands at 2.9%. Small and mid-cap stocks continue to look better technically than US large cap. The Russell 2000, S&P 600 and S&P 400 (midcap) index E...
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2024-07-18 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-08 17:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 19:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...