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I present five principles for commodity trading rooted in 300 years' worth of data. The long-term principles point to depressed commodity returns throughout the remainder of the decade. Most of the short-term principles point to negative returns over one- to three-year periods. ...
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has created significant uncertainty for the cycle outlook. The global economy was on track for strongly above-trend growth in 2022. The war in Ukraine will likely have a negative impact on growth and cause higher inflation this year, with Europe tak...
Russia-Ukraine conflict could push oil to $180 a barrel. Conflict also having major impact on agricultural commodities. High commodities prices may hamper global growth. For further details see: Oil's Price Surge May Not Be Done, As The Russia-Ukraine Conflict Intensifie...
This post attempts to put the dollar and commodity prices in some long-term perspective. What stands out the most is that the dollar is relatively strong vis a vis most other currencies, but commodity prices are also very strong. It's also not hard to argue that the current surge ...
How much economic pain is the world willing to bear as a result of the sanctions, when it’s likely uber-wealthy Putin will bear none of it? The Bloomberg Industrial Metals Subindex had its best week on record, with aluminum, copper and nickel all hitting new record highs in Lon...
Almost every commodity rose in prices last week, as did the dollar. Those two factors - rising dollar and rising commodity prices - mean the likelihood of recession in the coming year has risen significantly in just the last week. There was considerable volatility in stocks last week,...
Inflation is skyrocketing. Equities, bonds, and most asset classes are plummeting. Commodities currently offer investors a safe haven. DBC is a simple commodity index ETF, and has performed quite well under current market conditions. Risks abound. For further details...
Commodities again lead our list of "What's Working?" We see more trouble in the "risk on" sectors, including semiconductors. Is the Consumer Back? We are starting to see signs in earnings. For further details see: Commodities Remain Hot As Ukraine Conflict Rages On, Cons...
Energy and materials are the two strongest sectors right now. With nations on a war footing, inflation will continue to rage in 2022. Having exposure to oil and industrial metals is critical for investors. For further details see: War-Time Inflation Will Keep The Energy ...
A commodities supercycle may have started already. Typical duration of a commodities supercycle is a decade. Commodities supercycle can be reversed at the expense of a recession. For further details see: The Alternatives Are Commodities Supercycle Or Recession
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2024-07-18 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-08 17:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 19:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...