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With consumer price inflation now approaching double-digit territory, the bond market is beginning to catch on. The dollar is benefiting mainly from its safe-haven appeal. Inflation expectations have indeed risen and now stand at a historical high (recall that TIPS only came into ...
Financial markets have absorbed a tremendous amount of negative news on multiple fronts this year. As a result, consumer and investors sentiment are near historic lows. Yet rates of change are starting to move in a positive direction. Risk assets should perform well over the c...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Many of the trends are impacted by the current Russia-Ukraine war and the need for the West to become independent from Russia. Top 5 trends for 2022 and beyond: Rapid adoption of EVs and a huge demand wave for EV metals. Renewable energy and energy security & independence. Bas...
Part two of a two-part series. Clear evidence that commodities and energy companies are meaningfully undervalued. Many commodity companies now hold very strong balance sheets. After all, they needed strong balance sheets to survive the decade-long bear market, marked by a lack of capi...
The facts changed, and I had a choice. Pretend the facts hadn't changed. Or to adapt to a new environment. In short, adapt or die. Russia invaded Ukraine and disrupted the energy markets. That's the first ramification. But second and third ramifications are still to play out. ...
The Fed has decided to go from super-easy money to quickly tightening monetary policy, which is causing a spike in Treasury yields that looks dangerous to me. Treasury yields have nearly doubled since the Omicron panic in late November, touching 2.73% on Friday. They are flirting with...
The broader equity categories turned in negative results in Q1. U.S. large-cap stocks, as measured by the S&P 500 Index, held up the best at a decline of 4.6%. Bonds performed worse than many of the equity categories, despite typically being viewed as a safe haven investment. In t...
Does the yield curve inversion cause a recession or does it just provide a signal? Is the inversion only about expected future monetary policy? Do other factors also influence the shape of the curve, and if so, can we disentangle the various factors? There is a lot that we don’...
Fed hikes rates 25bp for the first time since 2018. The FOMC also hinted a balance sheet run-off plan is in progress and could be announced next meeting. Previous tightening cycles and normalization efforts had been abandoned or paused numerous times by the Fed the last several years....
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2024-07-18 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-08 17:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 19:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...