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2025-05-14 15:27:00 ET Summary While we retain a constructive medium- and long-term outlook for emerging markets debt, we have downgraded our near-term views for the asset class. We believe EM countries are better positioned to withstand a global trade war than developed countries...
2025-05-14 07:31:00 ET Summary Despite cooler CPI data, trade de-escalation points to higher long-end rates. The Fed may have room to act earlier and thus less drastically overall, while the general headwind to growth is moderating. In Europe, Dutch pension reforms could have ...
2025-05-14 06:04:00 ET Summary Using the macroeconomic data as a foundation and considering recent developments in the tariff conflict, we propose two stress-test scenario assumptions. To ensure that the correlation matrix used in the propagation step is compatible with the set of...
2025-05-13 15:30:00 ET Summary We still see tariffs causing further contractions in quarterly activity but the cumulative impact may be more limited. We eye opportunities from mega forces. U.S. stocks ticked down last week after a tech-driven rally over easing restrictions on AI c...
2025-05-13 04:20:00 ET Summary Tariffs are a tax, and they’re a tax paid by the domestic entity that imports goods from overseas. Because it’s the United States that’s imposing most of the tariffs at this stage, we think the implications for the United States ...
2025-05-12 14:39:00 ET Summary The narrative has shifted for US Treasuries - pressure for higher yields to persist. The bearish sentiment in euro rates can also continue for now. An important vote in parliament on the Dutch pension reforms will be postponed. If eventually a ma...
2025-05-12 08:15:00 ET Summary A 90-day ceasefire was agreed upon after China-US trade talks in Switzerland, with the US dropping tariffs on China to 30% and China dropping tariffs on the US to 10%. This was a larger-than-expected de-escalation and represents an upgrade to the out...
2025-05-12 07:21:00 ET Summary The U.S. dollar Index is still 3.5% below its level on April 2, when President Donald Trump unveiled a list of “reciprocal tariffs” on U.S. trading partners. On the face of it, dollar weakness after April 2 is strange for two reasons. ...
2025-05-10 03:25:27 ET Summary Markets have rallied, financial conditions have loosened, and debt markets have reopened. Crisis dynamics take fateful turns when perceived safe and liquid 'money' succumbs to a crisis of confidence and panic. Today's Treasury market behaves diff...
2025-05-10 00:30:00 ET Summary Market sentiment improves amid US-China trade talk optimism, despite concerns over tariff impacts on the global economy. Key economic data releases are expected across Asia, Europe, and the US, with a focus on inflation and retail sales. The US D...
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2025-02-26 17:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-12-24 05:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-09-03 03:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...