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The first quarter of 2021 brought what the Asset Allocation Committee expected, and as it looks to the next six to 12 months, it faces two questions. Do we think the economy will overheat, pushing bond yields to levels that unsettle equity markets or even force central banks to stifle...
The economic restart has lifted commodity prices. Beyond that, we see structural trends leading to a divergence of fortunes in different commodities. The International Monetary Fund has raised its global growth forecast to 6% in 2021. U.S. stocks hit record highs and yields traded bel...
As of early April, Bloomberg Commodity Index is up 33% over a year earlier. During that same time period, lumber has rallied 280%, with copper and corn rallying 100% and 80%, respectively. Inflation fears and a belief in post-pandemic economic recovery could be signaling the early day...
The magnitude of the stimulus over the past year may be driving inflationary expectations. This, combined with potential synchronized global growth and supply constraints, may all serve as tailwinds for commodity producers. VanEck Commodity Strategist and Portfolio Manager Roland ...
We expect 2021 to be a year of strong economic performance supported by large fiscal stimulus, loose monetary policy and the COVID-19 vaccine program. Commodities performed well during weak dollar periods - they generated a 11.5% return with a hit rate of 76%, meaning that their retur...
VanEck CEO Jan van Eck's latest investment outlook explores the recent bitcoin rally and the underlying trends supporting it. He discusses what economic growth looks like in 2021 after the worst year for the economy since World War II. He also discusses the impact of higher intere...
Commodity prices and inflation expectations (below since 1995) have been following government and central bank stimulus flows higher over the past six months. Higher commodity and interest rates weigh heavily on spending and recovery at this part of the economic cycle because jobs rem...
Iron ore prices soar as metal supply weakens. Transport costs rise sharply amid container shortages. Chemical prices increase, but at softer rate. For further details see: Commodity Prices Rise Amid Intensifying Supply Pressures In January
Despite the good news that came over the holidays and in early January, markets appear to have entered a period of consolidation. In my view, markets are only “taking a breather” as investors digest recent news and process what is already priced. So, what gives? ...
The stock market in 1921 was in a very different state than the stock market of 2021. Fitch, the ratings agency, is penciling in a 2020 deficit-to-GDP ratio of 18.5%. For 2021, Fitch expects a deficit equal to 11.3%. For further details see: What If The Thing That 'Roars...