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Summary Rate hikes and tighter financial conditions drove fixed-income returns lower in 2022. The broad repricing of bonds and the higher starting yields we have now can help insulate investors from further losses. If we look at international bonds, this is probably the first ...
Summary Mortgage rates have not been this high since before the housing crisis. And while the housing market is slowing, prices are still high. Demand for homes may be softening, but until there is more supply on the market, prices may hold up somewhat. By Allison ...
Summary Since the peak in early June, $196 billion in Treasury securities have rolled off the Fed’s balance sheet, reducing the balance of Treasury securities to $5.57 trillion, the lowest since November 17. Since the peak, the balance of MBS had dropped by $62 billion. ...
Summary Yesterday, Fed chair Jerome Powell reiterated his commitment to combating inflation (lagging indicator) at the expense of economic growth, employment and asset prices (leading indicator). In an abrupt reversal, every market sector tumbled into the close, with 474 of S&...
Summary Why lending has remained strong for U.S. banks even as a recession looms. Does the Fed have to go 'too far – too fast' to tackle inflation? The signals that are causing banks to become more cautious about loan losses. Aggressive rate hikes by t...
Summary The global economy has been hit by several headwinds, almost all of them leading back to higher inflation. Europe is likely already in recession, the U.S. will enter recession in Q2 2023, while China struggles to make recovery headway. Markets have faced up to the reality ...
Summary Halloween is a scary time, and the stock market has experienced a frightening 2022 as well. Given the horrific -19% decline in the stock market (S&P 500 index) this year, arguably much of the current and future dreadful news is already expected and discounted into toda...
Summary Barclays Aggregate is down almost as much as the S&P 500 YTD. As of 10/31/22, the YTD return on high yield is far better than the return on corporate high-grade. There is relative value being created in the various bond market asset classes. Looking at th...
Summary Since March 2022, the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 300 basis points. Higher rates are challenging both homebuyers and sellers. There are growing signs that the Federal Reserve’s rate policies are starting to bite into the U.S. housing market. ...
Summary Year-to-date, allocations to floating rate notes have resulted in a more than 20% performance differential compared to U.S. 10-Year notes. Rising rates explain why owning the same securities as the Agg but reducing the maturity profile (1–5 years) led to losses that...
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2024-03-01 04:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-08 15:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-18 00:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...