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2024-04-25 16:23:53 ET Summary First quarter GDP growth rate disappoints at 1.6%, below consensus estimates of 2.5%. Core PCE exceeds market expectations at 3.7%, above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. The possibility of stagflation arises as economic stagnation and inflati...
2024-04-25 15:03:09 ET Summary Today, we look at the market from a historical valuation perspective. At current levels, the S&P 500 is providing next to no risk premium compared to risk-free assets like the 10-Year Treasury. There are several ways this lack of risk premium...
2024-04-24 10:30:41 ET Summary Real Advanced Durable Goods Shipments grew by 0.28% in March, with growth in Real Core Durable Goods Shipments accelerating by 1.05%. The report provides further reason for the Fed to postpone any rate cuts. The U.S. economy is currently in a "no...
2024-04-23 10:37:17 ET Summary I expect the Federal Reserve's upcoming FOMC meeting to have a significant impact on the equity market and stock prices. I don't expect an interest rate cut at the meeting and see a possibility for higher 10-year rates in the next 1~2 years. Base...
2024-04-22 14:21:11 ET Summary The S&P 500 Index is experiencing a correction, with a potential 10% pullback to around the 4,800 level. Yet, the bottom is likely near. High-quality AI-related stocks have corrected significantly, providing a buying opportunity for the next move...
2024-04-22 13:45:00 ET Summary Style regimes constitute one of investors’ largest risk factors, second only to overall equity exposure. After 15 years of dominance of the growth style, the return of intra-market volatility has prompted renewed interest in cyclical rotations...
2024-04-22 13:04:43 ET Summary Heightened geopolitical risk has caught investors flat-footed over the past week. A historical analogy is presented of the Cuban Missile Crisis, a time of even greater geopolitical risk. In the short term, selling pressure in the market is likely...
2024-04-22 08:35:00 ET Summary Investors face a challenging landscape with fiscal dominance pushing bond yields and inflation, while geopolitical turmoil disrupts markets. Rising interest rates aim to curb inflation but can hurt stock valuations and bond prices. In my opinion,...
2024-04-22 00:41:39 ET Summary SCHD is a great capital gains storage for positions that may be getting over-concentrated in your portfolio. Many investors have big winners from buying the dips in 2020 and 2022. Chances are your winners have expanded P/E ratios. SCHD is a great...
2024-04-20 08:00:00 ET Summary Long leading indicators remain unchanged, with interest rates and credit spreads improving but yield curve measures and real estate loans remaining negative. Short leading indicators show some improvement, particularly in commodities and the US dolla...
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U.S. stocks are poised to break a six-day losing streak, marking the end of the longest downward trend since September 2022. At noon trading in New...
Source: Michael Ballanger 04/15/2024 Michael Ballanger of GGM Advisory Inc. shares his thoughts on the current state of the market, including moves...
As the weekend comes to a close, let’s take a look at the top stories that shaped the week. From the U.S. manufacturing sector hitting an 18-...